¿El candidato demócrata al Senado de Maine el 27 de julio?
Troy Jackson 100.0%
Graham Platner <1%
Jared Golden <1%
Chellie Pingree <1%
$904,316 Vol.
$904,316 Vol.
27 jul 2026
Graham Platner
$143,051 Vol.
No
Jared Golden
$54,048 Vol.
No
Chellie Pingree
$7,842 Vol.
No
Saundra Pelletier
$13,225 Vol.
No
Dan Kleban
$34,277 Vol.
No
Janet Mills
$36,974 Vol.
No
Aaron Frey
$2,911 Vol.
No
Jordan Wood
$24,079 Vol.
No
Troy Jackson
$355,279 Vol.
Sí
Nirav Shah
$97,206 Vol.
No
Shenna Bellows
$91,606 Vol.
No
Paige Loud
$3,395 Vol.
No
Valli Geiger
$30,783 Vol.
No
David Costello
$9,413 Vol.
No
Elizabeth Dickerson
$227 Vol.
No
Troy Jackson 100.0%
Graham Platner <1%
Jared Golden <1%
Chellie Pingree <1%
$904,316 Vol.
$904,316 Vol.
27 jul 2026
Graham Platner
$143,051 Vol.
No
Jared Golden
$54,048 Vol.
No
Chellie Pingree
$7,842 Vol.
No
Saundra Pelletier
$13,225 Vol.
No
Dan Kleban
$34,277 Vol.
No
Janet Mills
$36,974 Vol.
No
Aaron Frey
$2,911 Vol.
No
Jordan Wood
$24,079 Vol.
No
Troy Jackson
$355,279 Vol.
Sí
Nirav Shah
$97,206 Vol.
No
Shenna Bellows
$91,606 Vol.
No
Paige Loud
$3,395 Vol.
No
Valli Geiger
$30,783 Vol.
No
David Costello
$9,413 Vol.
No
Elizabeth Dickerson
$227 Vol.
No
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Jul 26 2026
Maine Democratic delegates confirm Troy Jackson as nominee to face Susan Collins
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
Following the convention, Maine Democratic delegates reaffirmed their support for Troy Jackson as the nominee, setting up a high-profile general election against incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially nominated as Maine Democratic Senate candidate at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party nominating convention, Troy Jackson was officially selected as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially selected as Maine Democratic Senate nominee at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party's nominating convention, Troy Jackson won a near-unanimous vote to replace Graham Platner as the Senate nominee, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially chosen as Maine Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At a special nominating convention, Maine Democrats overwhelmingly selected Troy Jackson as their new Senate nominee to replace Graham Platner, setting him up to challenge incumbent Republican Susan Collins in the November election.
Jul 25 2026
Maine Democratic Party holds nominating convention, selects Troy Jackson as Senate nominee
Troy Jackson jumps to 100%9%
At a state party convention in Bangor, Maine, 601 delegates voted overwhelmingly to select Troy Jackson as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner for the U.S. Senate race.
Jul 21 2026
Troy Jackson consolidates support as frontrunner for Maine Democratic Senate nomination
Troy Jackson jumps to 91%12%
Troy Jackson emerged as the clear frontrunner for the Democratic nomination after other major candidates dropped out and he secured commitments from a large majority of delegates ahead of the convention.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson emerges as likely Maine Democratic Senate nominee as opponents drop out
Troy Jackson jumps to 86%7%
Troy Jackson gained overwhelming support among delegates and saw major opponents like Shenna Bellows and Jordan Wood drop out, consolidating his position as the frontrunner to replace Platner.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson gains momentum as top Maine Senate Democratic candidate after opponents drop out
Troy Jackson surges to 70%25%
Several major Democratic candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, consolidating support behind him and boosting his chances to become the nominee.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson effectively secures Maine Democratic Senate nomination with delegate support
Troy Jackson surges to 91%21%
Troy Jackson's preferred delegates won a majority of seats at county nominating meetings, effectively securing his nomination ahead of the official convention, which increased market confidence in his nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders drop out, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson surges to 79%43%
Several top candidates, including Nirav Shah and Jordan Wood, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, who emerged as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders withdraw, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson jumps to 89%10%
Several top candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns, leaving Troy Jackson as the clear frontrunner with overwhelming delegate support ahead of the nominating convention. This caused Jackson's market price to surge.
Jul 18 2026
Maine counties hold delegate nominating meetings for Senate replacement convention
Yes rises to 78%3%
All 16 Maine counties conducted delegate nominating meetings to select 500 delegates who would participate in the July 25 convention to choose the new Democratic Senate nominee.
Jul 15 2026
Field of candidates emerges to replace Graham Platner as Maine Democratic Senate nominee
Following Platner's withdrawal, multiple Democrats filed to run as replacement candidates, initiating a competitive race for the party's nomination ahead of the July 27 deadline.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party finalizes process to select replacement nominee for Graham Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
Following Platner's withdrawal, the Maine Democratic Party announced a special nominating convention to be held on July 25, where delegates from all counties would vote to select the new Senate nominee.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party sets plan for nominating convention to replace Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
The Maine Democratic Party announced a plan to hold a nominating convention to select a new Senate nominee by July 27, following Platner's withdrawal. This announcement set the stage for a competitive replacement process.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally files paperwork to withdraw from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner officially submitted his withdrawal paperwork to the Maine Secretary of State, confirming his exit from the race and triggering the process for the Maine Democratic Party to select a replacement nominee by July 27.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally withdraws from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner submitted official paperwork to withdraw from the Senate race, confirming his exit and enabling the Maine Democratic Party to begin the process of selecting a replacement nominee. This formal withdrawal solidified the market's shift away from Platner.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner withdraws from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegations
Graham Platner dips to 0%4%
Graham Platner, the Democratic primary winner, ended his campaign following sexual assault allegations, which he denied. This triggered the Maine Democratic Party's process to select a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to collapse to zero.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner suspends Maine Senate campaign amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced he was suspending his campaign after a woman accused him of sexual assault, which he denied. This announcement initiated the process for the Maine Democratic Party to find a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to plummet.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner announces plan to withdraw from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced his intention to withdraw from the U.S. Senate race after facing a credible sexual assault allegation, which led to calls from Democratic leaders for him to step down, severely impacting his campaign viability.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Jul 26 2026
Maine Democratic delegates confirm Troy Jackson as nominee to face Susan Collins
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
Following the convention, Maine Democratic delegates reaffirmed their support for Troy Jackson as the nominee, setting up a high-profile general election against incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially nominated as Maine Democratic Senate candidate at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party nominating convention, Troy Jackson was officially selected as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially selected as Maine Democratic Senate nominee at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party's nominating convention, Troy Jackson won a near-unanimous vote to replace Graham Platner as the Senate nominee, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially chosen as Maine Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At a special nominating convention, Maine Democrats overwhelmingly selected Troy Jackson as their new Senate nominee to replace Graham Platner, setting him up to challenge incumbent Republican Susan Collins in the November election.
Jul 25 2026
Maine Democratic Party holds nominating convention, selects Troy Jackson as Senate nominee
Troy Jackson jumps to 100%9%
At a state party convention in Bangor, Maine, 601 delegates voted overwhelmingly to select Troy Jackson as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner for the U.S. Senate race.
Jul 21 2026
Troy Jackson consolidates support as frontrunner for Maine Democratic Senate nomination
Troy Jackson jumps to 91%12%
Troy Jackson emerged as the clear frontrunner for the Democratic nomination after other major candidates dropped out and he secured commitments from a large majority of delegates ahead of the convention.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson emerges as likely Maine Democratic Senate nominee as opponents drop out
Troy Jackson jumps to 86%7%
Troy Jackson gained overwhelming support among delegates and saw major opponents like Shenna Bellows and Jordan Wood drop out, consolidating his position as the frontrunner to replace Platner.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson gains momentum as top Maine Senate Democratic candidate after opponents drop out
Troy Jackson surges to 70%25%
Several major Democratic candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, consolidating support behind him and boosting his chances to become the nominee.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson effectively secures Maine Democratic Senate nomination with delegate support
Troy Jackson surges to 91%21%
Troy Jackson's preferred delegates won a majority of seats at county nominating meetings, effectively securing his nomination ahead of the official convention, which increased market confidence in his nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders drop out, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson surges to 79%43%
Several top candidates, including Nirav Shah and Jordan Wood, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, who emerged as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders withdraw, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson jumps to 89%10%
Several top candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns, leaving Troy Jackson as the clear frontrunner with overwhelming delegate support ahead of the nominating convention. This caused Jackson's market price to surge.
Jul 18 2026
Maine counties hold delegate nominating meetings for Senate replacement convention
Yes rises to 78%3%
All 16 Maine counties conducted delegate nominating meetings to select 500 delegates who would participate in the July 25 convention to choose the new Democratic Senate nominee.
Jul 15 2026
Field of candidates emerges to replace Graham Platner as Maine Democratic Senate nominee
Following Platner's withdrawal, multiple Democrats filed to run as replacement candidates, initiating a competitive race for the party's nomination ahead of the July 27 deadline.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party finalizes process to select replacement nominee for Graham Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
Following Platner's withdrawal, the Maine Democratic Party announced a special nominating convention to be held on July 25, where delegates from all counties would vote to select the new Senate nominee.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party sets plan for nominating convention to replace Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
The Maine Democratic Party announced a plan to hold a nominating convention to select a new Senate nominee by July 27, following Platner's withdrawal. This announcement set the stage for a competitive replacement process.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally files paperwork to withdraw from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner officially submitted his withdrawal paperwork to the Maine Secretary of State, confirming his exit from the race and triggering the process for the Maine Democratic Party to select a replacement nominee by July 27.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally withdraws from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner submitted official paperwork to withdraw from the Senate race, confirming his exit and enabling the Maine Democratic Party to begin the process of selecting a replacement nominee. This formal withdrawal solidified the market's shift away from Platner.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner withdraws from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegations
Graham Platner dips to 0%4%
Graham Platner, the Democratic primary winner, ended his campaign following sexual assault allegations, which he denied. This triggered the Maine Democratic Party's process to select a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to collapse to zero.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner suspends Maine Senate campaign amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced he was suspending his campaign after a woman accused him of sexual assault, which he denied. This announcement initiated the process for the Maine Democratic Party to find a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to plummet.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner announces plan to withdraw from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced his intention to withdraw from the U.S. Senate race after facing a credible sexual assault allegation, which led to calls from Democratic leaders for him to step down, severely impacting his campaign viability.
"¿El candidato demócrata al Senado de Maine el 27 de julio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Troy Jackson" con 100%, seguido de "Graham Platner" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "¿El candidato demócrata al Senado de Maine el 27 de julio?" ha generado $904.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 6, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "¿El candidato demócrata al Senado de Maine el 27 de julio?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "¿El candidato demócrata al Senado de Maine el 27 de julio?" es "Troy Jackson" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Graham Platner" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "¿El candidato demócrata al Senado de Maine el 27 de julio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "¿El candidato demócrata al Senado de Maine el 27 de julio?". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $904.3K operados en “¿El candidato demócrata al Senado de Maine el 27 de julio?”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "¿El candidato demócrata al Senado de Maine el 27 de julio?", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para "Troy Jackson" en el mercado "¿El candidato demócrata al Senado de Maine el 27 de julio?" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 100% de que "Troy Jackson" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 100¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "¿El candidato demócrata al Senado de Maine el 27 de julio?" ha sido resuelto. El resultado final ha sido determinado y el mercado ya no está abierto para operar. Aún puedes revisar las probabilidades históricas, probabilidades de resultados y comentarios en esta página.
El mercado "¿El candidato demócrata al Senado de Maine el 27 de julio?" tiene una discusión creciente de 4 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "¿El candidato demócrata al Senado de Maine el 27 de julio?". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes