Incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown's commanding position in the safely Democratic OH-11 district, rated D+28 by Cook PVI, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting her consistent 78%+ general election margins since 2021 and over $1 million cash-on-hand as of late 2025. The new congressional map redrawn in October 2025 preserved the district's strong partisan lean, while the February 4 filing deadline set a lopsided Democratic primary field on May 5—Brown versus underfunded challengers Sean Freeman and Ardelia Holmes—against weak Republican contenders James Hemphill and Mike Kirchner, both past primary losers. Ohio Democrats' late February endorsement of incumbents further solidified her path. Rare shifts could arise from a primary upset, scandal, or national midterm wave, though historical precedents favor continuity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-11
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown's commanding position in the safely Democratic OH-11 district, rated D+28 by Cook PVI, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting her consistent 78%+ general election margins since 2021 and over $1 million cash-on-hand as of late 2025. The new congressional map redrawn in October 2025 preserved the district's strong partisan lean, while the February 4 filing deadline set a lopsided Democratic primary field on May 5—Brown versus underfunded challengers Sean Freeman and Ardelia Holmes—against weak Republican contenders James Hemphill and Mike Kirchner, both past primary losers. Ohio Democrats' late February endorsement of incumbents further solidified her path. Rare shifts could arise from a primary upset, scandal, or national midterm wave, though historical precedents favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown's commanding position in the safely Democratic OH-11 district, rated D+28 by Cook PVI, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting her consistent 78%+ general election margins since 2021 and over $1 million cash-on-hand as of late 2025. The new congressional map redrawn in October 2025 preserved the district's strong partisan lean, while the February 4 filing deadline set a lopsided Democratic primary field on May 5—Brown versus underfunded challengers Sean Freeman and Ardelia Holmes—against weak Republican contenders James Hemphill and Mike Kirchner, both past primary losers. Ohio Democrats' late February endorsement of incumbents further solidified her path. Rare shifts could arise from a primary upset, scandal, or national midterm wave, though historical precedents favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown's commanding position in the safely Democratic OH-11 district, rated D+28 by Cook PVI, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting her consistent 78%+ general election margins since 2021 and over $1 million cash-on-hand as of late 2025. The new congressional map redrawn in October 2025 preserved the district's strong partisan lean, while the February 4 filing deadline set a lopsided Democratic primary field on May 5—Brown versus underfunded challengers Sean Freeman and Ardelia Holmes—against weak Republican contenders James Hemphill and Mike Kirchner, both past primary losers. Ohio Democrats' late February endorsement of incumbents further solidified her path. Rare shifts could arise from a primary upset, scandal, or national midterm wave, though historical precedents favor continuity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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