Redistricting for the 2026 cycle merged portions of prior districts, placing Republican incumbents Ken Calvert and Young Kim in the same California 40th congressional race under the state's top-two primary system. Primary results from June 2026 showed Calvert leading with roughly 35% of the vote to Kim's 21%, allowing both to advance to the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing favors Calvert at 74% over Kim at 27%, driven by Calvert's longer tenure, subcommittee leadership role, and outside spending advantages offsetting Kim's stronger direct fundraising. The district's Republican lean and absence of a Democratic general-election candidate further consolidate the contest as an intra-party matchup, with limited recent developments altering the positioning since the primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Ken Calvert
74%
Young Kim
27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Ken Calvert
$874 Vol.
74%
Young Kim
$763 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting for the 2026 cycle merged portions of prior districts, placing Republican incumbents Ken Calvert and Young Kim in the same California 40th congressional race under the state's top-two primary system. Primary results from June 2026 showed Calvert leading with roughly 35% of the vote to Kim's 21%, allowing both to advance to the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing favors Calvert at 74% over Kim at 27%, driven by Calvert's longer tenure, subcommittee leadership role, and outside spending advantages offsetting Kim's stronger direct fundraising. The district's Republican lean and absence of a Democratic general-election candidate further consolidate the contest as an intra-party matchup, with limited recent developments altering the positioning since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET
Volumen
$1,636Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting for the 2026 cycle merged portions of prior districts, placing Republican incumbents Ken Calvert and Young Kim in the same California 40th congressional race under the state's top-two primary system. Primary results from June 2026 showed Calvert leading with roughly 35% of the vote to Kim's 21%, allowing both to advance to the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing favors Calvert at 74% over Kim at 27%, driven by Calvert's longer tenure, subcommittee leadership role, and outside spending advantages offsetting Kim's stronger direct fundraising. The district's Republican lean and absence of a Democratic general-election candidate further consolidate the contest as an intra-party matchup, with limited recent developments altering the positioning since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$1,636Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Redistricting for the 2026 cycle merged portions of prior districts, placing Republican incumbents Ken Calvert and Young Kim in the same California 40th congressional race under the state's top-two primary system. Primary results from June 2026 showed Calvert leading with roughly 35% of the vote to Kim's 21%, allowing both to advance to the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing favors Calvert at 74% over Kim at 27%, driven by Calvert's longer tenure, subcommittee leadership role, and outside spending advantages offsetting Kim's stronger direct fundraising. The district's Republican lean and absence of a Democratic general-election candidate further consolidate the contest as an intra-party matchup, with limited recent developments altering the positioning since the primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes