Republican incumbent Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent of the vote in the May 12 primary, reinforcing trader consensus on his position in a state where Republicans have held both Senate seats since 2013. Independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader who came within seven points of victory in 2024, benefits from Democratic Party endorsement after nominee Cindy Burbank withdrew to consolidate opposition support. Recent polls show a competitive race with margins under five points in some surveys, though nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as likely or solid Republican. Democrat Cindy Burbank's primary win and subsequent exit account for the minimal pricing on that outcome ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRepublicano 63%
Independiente 35%
Demócrata 3.1%
$117,148 Vol.
$117,148 Vol.

Republicano
63%

Independiente
35%

Demócrata
3%
Republicano 63%
Independiente 35%
Demócrata 3.1%
$117,148 Vol.
$117,148 Vol.

Republicano
63%

Independiente
35%

Demócrata
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent of the vote in the May 12 primary, reinforcing trader consensus on his position in a state where Republicans have held both Senate seats since 2013. Independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader who came within seven points of victory in 2024, benefits from Democratic Party endorsement after nominee Cindy Burbank withdrew to consolidate opposition support. Recent polls show a competitive race with margins under five points in some surveys, though nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as likely or solid Republican. Democrat Cindy Burbank's primary win and subsequent exit account for the minimal pricing on that outcome ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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