Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa’s reelection effort in California’s 21st congressional district drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The Central Valley seat carries a D+6 partisan lean based on recent presidential results after mid-decade redistricting, and forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic. Costa, first elected in 2004, holds a sizable fundraising edge and faces only modest Republican challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major developments shifting the underlying district dynamics, market pricing reflects the limited opportunities for Republican gains in this environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-21 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-21 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
88%
Partido Republicano
11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$2,884 Vol.
88%
Partido Republicano
$1,394 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa’s reelection effort in California’s 21st congressional district drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The Central Valley seat carries a D+6 partisan lean based on recent presidential results after mid-decade redistricting, and forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic. Costa, first elected in 2004, holds a sizable fundraising edge and faces only modest Republican challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major developments shifting the underlying district dynamics, market pricing reflects the limited opportunities for Republican gains in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$4,278Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa’s reelection effort in California’s 21st congressional district drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The Central Valley seat carries a D+6 partisan lean based on recent presidential results after mid-decade redistricting, and forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic. Costa, first elected in 2004, holds a sizable fundraising edge and faces only modest Republican challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major developments shifting the underlying district dynamics, market pricing reflects the limited opportunities for Republican gains in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$4,278Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa’s reelection effort in California’s 21st congressional district drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The Central Valley seat carries a D+6 partisan lean based on recent presidential results after mid-decade redistricting, and forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic. Costa, first elected in 2004, holds a sizable fundraising edge and faces only modest Republican challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major developments shifting the underlying district dynamics, market pricing reflects the limited opportunities for Republican gains in this environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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