The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei in February 2026 has opened Nevada's 2nd congressional district for the November general election, creating a crowded primary field with over a dozen Republican and Democratic candidates ahead of the June 9 contests. Forecasters rate the northern Nevada seat, which spans rural areas and Reno with an R+7 partisan voting index, as solidly Republican, consistent with its history of double-digit GOP margins and lack of any Democratic winner. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside primary dynamics, where nominee selection and turnout patterns in this battleground-leaning district could influence the final outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes NV-02
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes NV-02
$17,217 Vol.
$17,217 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
66%
Partido Demócrata
28%
$17,217 Vol.
$17,217 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,165 Vol.
66%
Partido Demócrata
$6,052 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei in February 2026 has opened Nevada's 2nd congressional district for the November general election, creating a crowded primary field with over a dozen Republican and Democratic candidates ahead of the June 9 contests. Forecasters rate the northern Nevada seat, which spans rural areas and Reno with an R+7 partisan voting index, as solidly Republican, consistent with its history of double-digit GOP margins and lack of any Democratic winner. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside primary dynamics, where nominee selection and turnout patterns in this battleground-leaning district could influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$17,217Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei in February 2026 has opened Nevada's 2nd congressional district for the November general election, creating a crowded primary field with over a dozen Republican and Democratic candidates ahead of the June 9 contests. Forecasters rate the northern Nevada seat, which spans rural areas and Reno with an R+7 partisan voting index, as solidly Republican, consistent with its history of double-digit GOP margins and lack of any Democratic winner. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside primary dynamics, where nominee selection and turnout patterns in this battleground-leaning district could influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$17,217Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei in February 2026 has opened Nevada's 2nd congressional district for the November general election, creating a crowded primary field with over a dozen Republican and Democratic candidates ahead of the June 9 contests. Forecasters rate the northern Nevada seat, which spans rural areas and Reno with an R+7 partisan voting index, as solidly Republican, consistent with its history of double-digit GOP margins and lack of any Democratic winner. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside primary dynamics, where nominee selection and turnout patterns in this battleground-leaning district could influence the final outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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