Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 78.5% implied probability to win Florida's 7th Congressional District House seat in November 2026, driven by the district's strong Republican lean—bolstered by new maps projecting a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide—and incumbent Rep. Cory Mills' name recognition despite ongoing scandals. Cook Political Report shifted the rating from Solid to Likely Republican in January, prompting Democratic targeting and strong early fundraising from challenger Bale Dalton, a Navy veteran who outraised Mills over 5-to-1 through February. With no recent district polls indicating a competitive race and primaries looming August 18, traders see limited paths for a Democratic upset amid Florida's GOP dominance and historical incumbent retention rates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$10,063 Vol.
$10,063 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
79%
Partido Demócrata
22%
$10,063 Vol.
$10,063 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,209 Vol.
79%
Partido Demócrata
$5,854 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 78.5% implied probability to win Florida's 7th Congressional District House seat in November 2026, driven by the district's strong Republican lean—bolstered by new maps projecting a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide—and incumbent Rep. Cory Mills' name recognition despite ongoing scandals. Cook Political Report shifted the rating from Solid to Likely Republican in January, prompting Democratic targeting and strong early fundraising from challenger Bale Dalton, a Navy veteran who outraised Mills over 5-to-1 through February. With no recent district polls indicating a competitive race and primaries looming August 18, traders see limited paths for a Democratic upset amid Florida's GOP dominance and historical incumbent retention rates.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volumen
$10,063Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 78.5% implied probability to win Florida's 7th Congressional District House seat in November 2026, driven by the district's strong Republican lean—bolstered by new maps projecting a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide—and incumbent Rep. Cory Mills' name recognition despite ongoing scandals. Cook Political Report shifted the rating from Solid to Likely Republican in January, prompting Democratic targeting and strong early fundraising from challenger Bale Dalton, a Navy veteran who outraised Mills over 5-to-1 through February. With no recent district polls indicating a competitive race and primaries looming August 18, traders see limited paths for a Democratic upset amid Florida's GOP dominance and historical incumbent retention rates.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,063Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 78.5% implied probability to win Florida's 7th Congressional District House seat in November 2026, driven by the district's strong Republican lean—bolstered by new maps projecting a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide—and incumbent Rep. Cory Mills' name recognition despite ongoing scandals. Cook Political Report shifted the rating from Solid to Likely Republican in January, prompting Democratic targeting and strong early fundraising from challenger Bale Dalton, a Navy veteran who outraised Mills over 5-to-1 through February. With no recent district polls indicating a competitive race and primaries looming August 18, traders see limited paths for a Democratic upset amid Florida's GOP dominance and historical incumbent retention rates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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