The 14th Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and consistent past margins above 60 percent for the party, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic winner for the 2026 election cycle. Eric Swalwell’s April resignation after multiple misconduct allegations created an open seat and triggered both a special election with a June 16 primary and the regular June 2 primary, drawing a crowded Democratic field led by state Senator Aisha Wahab and including Melissa Hernandez. Republican challengers such as Wendy Huang remain far behind in early polling. A decisive national Republican wave or an unforeseen scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee represent the main paths that could narrow the current gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-14 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-14 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$26,525 Vol.
$26,525 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$26,525 Vol.
$26,525 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$8,560 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$17,966 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 14th Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and consistent past margins above 60 percent for the party, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic winner for the 2026 election cycle. Eric Swalwell’s April resignation after multiple misconduct allegations created an open seat and triggered both a special election with a June 16 primary and the regular June 2 primary, drawing a crowded Democratic field led by state Senator Aisha Wahab and including Melissa Hernandez. Republican challengers such as Wendy Huang remain far behind in early polling. A decisive national Republican wave or an unforeseen scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee represent the main paths that could narrow the current gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$26,525Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 14th Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and consistent past margins above 60 percent for the party, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic winner for the 2026 election cycle. Eric Swalwell’s April resignation after multiple misconduct allegations created an open seat and triggered both a special election with a June 16 primary and the regular June 2 primary, drawing a crowded Democratic field led by state Senator Aisha Wahab and including Melissa Hernandez. Republican challengers such as Wendy Huang remain far behind in early polling. A decisive national Republican wave or an unforeseen scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee represent the main paths that could narrow the current gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,525Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 14th Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and consistent past margins above 60 percent for the party, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic winner for the 2026 election cycle. Eric Swalwell’s April resignation after multiple misconduct allegations created an open seat and triggered both a special election with a June 16 primary and the regular June 2 primary, drawing a crowded Democratic field led by state Senator Aisha Wahab and including Melissa Hernandez. Republican challengers such as Wendy Huang remain far behind in early polling. A decisive national Republican wave or an unforeseen scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee represent the main paths that could narrow the current gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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