Oregon’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean with a partisan voting index above D+20, driven by suburban Portland voters and coastal communities that have delivered consistent majorities for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici, serving since 2012 and reelected with over 68 percent in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the May 19 contest and holds clear advantages in fundraising and name recognition against Republican primary contenders. These structural factors and the district’s established voting patterns underpin the current market pricing that assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Late developments such as a health event or unforeseen scandal could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOR-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
OR-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$3,822 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$872 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean with a partisan voting index above D+20, driven by suburban Portland voters and coastal communities that have delivered consistent majorities for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici, serving since 2012 and reelected with over 68 percent in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the May 19 contest and holds clear advantages in fundraising and name recognition against Republican primary contenders. These structural factors and the district’s established voting patterns underpin the current market pricing that assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Late developments such as a health event or unforeseen scandal could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$4,694Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean with a partisan voting index above D+20, driven by suburban Portland voters and coastal communities that have delivered consistent majorities for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici, serving since 2012 and reelected with over 68 percent in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the May 19 contest and holds clear advantages in fundraising and name recognition against Republican primary contenders. These structural factors and the district’s established voting patterns underpin the current market pricing that assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Late developments such as a health event or unforeseen scandal could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$4,694Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean with a partisan voting index above D+20, driven by suburban Portland voters and coastal communities that have delivered consistent majorities for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici, serving since 2012 and reelected with over 68 percent in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the May 19 contest and holds clear advantages in fundraising and name recognition against Republican primary contenders. These structural factors and the district’s established voting patterns underpin the current market pricing that assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Late developments such as a health event or unforeseen scandal could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes