Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar's narrow polling leads—46% to 43% over Democrat Eliott Rodriguez and 47% to 40% over Robin Peguero in early March surveys—along with her $1.7 million cash-on-hand advantage, underpin trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 60% in Florida's 27th Congressional District. The Miami-Dade battleground, which Donald Trump carried by 15 points in 2024, is rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting GOP gains with Hispanic voters. Recent Democratic flips of two state legislative seats in March 24 special elections signal midterm competitiveness, but incumbency and district fundamentals sustain Republican trader optimism ahead of the August 18 primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoFL-27 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-27 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
60%
Partido Demócrata
40%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
$1,429 Vol.
60%
Partido Demócrata
$2,055 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar's narrow polling leads—46% to 43% over Democrat Eliott Rodriguez and 47% to 40% over Robin Peguero in early March surveys—along with her $1.7 million cash-on-hand advantage, underpin trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 60% in Florida's 27th Congressional District. The Miami-Dade battleground, which Donald Trump carried by 15 points in 2024, is rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting GOP gains with Hispanic voters. Recent Democratic flips of two state legislative seats in March 24 special elections signal midterm competitiveness, but incumbency and district fundamentals sustain Republican trader optimism ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$3,484Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar's narrow polling leads—46% to 43% over Democrat Eliott Rodriguez and 47% to 40% over Robin Peguero in early March surveys—along with her $1.7 million cash-on-hand advantage, underpin trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 60% in Florida's 27th Congressional District. The Miami-Dade battleground, which Donald Trump carried by 15 points in 2024, is rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting GOP gains with Hispanic voters. Recent Democratic flips of two state legislative seats in March 24 special elections signal midterm competitiveness, but incumbency and district fundamentals sustain Republican trader optimism ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$3,484Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar's narrow polling leads—46% to 43% over Democrat Eliott Rodriguez and 47% to 40% over Robin Peguero in early March surveys—along with her $1.7 million cash-on-hand advantage, underpin trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 60% in Florida's 27th Congressional District. The Miami-Dade battleground, which Donald Trump carried by 15 points in 2024, is rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting GOP gains with Hispanic voters. Recent Democratic flips of two state legislative seats in March 24 special elections signal midterm competitiveness, but incumbency and district fundamentals sustain Republican trader optimism ahead of the August 18 primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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