**Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds a 63.5% implied probability in the FL-27 House race against Democrat Eliott Rodriguez at 36.5%, reflecting her fundraising edge, incumbency, and primary performance despite a sharply competitive environment.** The district’s heavily Hispanic electorate has shown backlash against Trump administration immigration enforcement, prompting Salazar to criticize mass deportations in a campaign ad and distance herself from the president on the issue. This contributed to recent polls showing the candidates nearly tied or within a point, including a Rodriguez internal survey and a Democratic-sponsored Tulchin poll. Cook Political Report and other raters shifted the seat to Lean Republican after earlier Likely Republican assessments. Rodriguez, a former TV anchor, emphasizes affordability and accountability, while Salazar highlights appropriations and her Dignity Act proposal. With the November 3 general election weeks away, the race tests whether her record and resources can offset national headwinds and local voter shifts in this battleground Miami-Dade seat.