In Michigan's 7th Congressional District, trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election due to the seat's status as a swing district that flipped parties in the prior two cycles. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett won narrowly in 2024, yet the race carries a toss-up rating from the Cook Political Report amid active Democratic recruitment and a competitive August primary featuring candidates such as Bridget Brink and William Lawrence. Midterm dynamics, where the opposition party typically benefits from national headwinds, along with early fundraising and primary field strength, have reinforced the implied probability of a flip. Scheduled primaries in August and broader campaign developments through the fall remain key variables that could alter positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMI-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MI-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
81%
Partido Republicano
16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$4,651 Vol.
81%
Partido Republicano
$1,912 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Michigan's 7th Congressional District, trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election due to the seat's status as a swing district that flipped parties in the prior two cycles. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett won narrowly in 2024, yet the race carries a toss-up rating from the Cook Political Report amid active Democratic recruitment and a competitive August primary featuring candidates such as Bridget Brink and William Lawrence. Midterm dynamics, where the opposition party typically benefits from national headwinds, along with early fundraising and primary field strength, have reinforced the implied probability of a flip. Scheduled primaries in August and broader campaign developments through the fall remain key variables that could alter positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$6,563Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Michigan's 7th Congressional District, trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election due to the seat's status as a swing district that flipped parties in the prior two cycles. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett won narrowly in 2024, yet the race carries a toss-up rating from the Cook Political Report amid active Democratic recruitment and a competitive August primary featuring candidates such as Bridget Brink and William Lawrence. Midterm dynamics, where the opposition party typically benefits from national headwinds, along with early fundraising and primary field strength, have reinforced the implied probability of a flip. Scheduled primaries in August and broader campaign developments through the fall remain key variables that could alter positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$6,563Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Michigan's 7th Congressional District, trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election due to the seat's status as a swing district that flipped parties in the prior two cycles. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett won narrowly in 2024, yet the race carries a toss-up rating from the Cook Political Report amid active Democratic recruitment and a competitive August primary featuring candidates such as Bridget Brink and William Lawrence. Midterm dynamics, where the opposition party typically benefits from national headwinds, along with early fundraising and primary field strength, have reinforced the implied probability of a flip. Scheduled primaries in August and broader campaign developments through the fall remain key variables that could alter positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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