Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett's vote against extending Affordable Care Act subsidies in January, contributing to rising health premiums and uninsured rates in the district as noted in recent DCCC analysis, has fueled Democratic attacks including a February ad campaign by Reproductive Freedom for All. This vulnerability in the narrowly flipped 2024 battleground bolsters trader consensus favoring Democrats at 86.5%, despite toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report. A crowded Democratic primary features frontrunner William Lawrence leading per a new poll released March 27, with early surveys showing candidates like Matt Maasdam ahead of Barrett head-to-head. Filing deadline looms April 21 ahead of the August 4 primaries, amid midterm pressures on the GOP.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMI-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MI-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
Partido Demócrata
87%
Partido Republicano
13%
Partido Demócrata
87%
Partido Republicano
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett's vote against extending Affordable Care Act subsidies in January, contributing to rising health premiums and uninsured rates in the district as noted in recent DCCC analysis, has fueled Democratic attacks including a February ad campaign by Reproductive Freedom for All. This vulnerability in the narrowly flipped 2024 battleground bolsters trader consensus favoring Democrats at 86.5%, despite toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report. A crowded Democratic primary features frontrunner William Lawrence leading per a new poll released March 27, with early surveys showing candidates like Matt Maasdam ahead of Barrett head-to-head. Filing deadline looms April 21 ahead of the August 4 primaries, amid midterm pressures on the GOP.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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