Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman faces Democrat James Russell in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas’s 4th congressional district. The seat’s R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Westerman advanced unopposed through the March primary after securing more than 70 percent in the prior general election, while Russell defeated his primary opponent but enters the race with limited statewide name recognition. Fundraising reports show Westerman holding a substantial cash advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors in this rural, conservative district have historically limited such shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAR-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AR-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$15,830 Vol.
$15,830 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demf3crata
4%
$15,830 Vol.
$15,830 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,581 Vol.
94%
Partido Demf3crata
$6,248 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman faces Democrat James Russell in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas’s 4th congressional district. The seat’s R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Westerman advanced unopposed through the March primary after securing more than 70 percent in the prior general election, while Russell defeated his primary opponent but enters the race with limited statewide name recognition. Fundraising reports show Westerman holding a substantial cash advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors in this rural, conservative district have historically limited such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$15,830Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman faces Democrat James Russell in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas’s 4th congressional district. The seat’s R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Westerman advanced unopposed through the March primary after securing more than 70 percent in the prior general election, while Russell defeated his primary opponent but enters the race with limited statewide name recognition. Fundraising reports show Westerman holding a substantial cash advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors in this rural, conservative district have historically limited such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,830Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman faces Democrat James Russell in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas’s 4th congressional district. The seat’s R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Westerman advanced unopposed through the March primary after securing more than 70 percent in the prior general election, while Russell defeated his primary opponent but enters the race with limited statewide name recognition. Fundraising reports show Westerman holding a substantial cash advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors in this rural, conservative district have historically limited such shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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