Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 61% margin in the 2024 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 contest, with primaries scheduled for August. The southwestern district's suburban demographics and voting history underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Scenarios that could alter the outlook include an incumbent retirement, significant scandal, or unforeseen national political shift, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCT-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CT-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$32,367 Vol.
$32,367 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
4%
$32,367 Vol.
$32,367 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$14,042 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$18,325 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 61% margin in the 2024 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 contest, with primaries scheduled for August. The southwestern district's suburban demographics and voting history underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Scenarios that could alter the outlook include an incumbent retirement, significant scandal, or unforeseen national political shift, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$32,367Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 61% margin in the 2024 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 contest, with primaries scheduled for August. The southwestern district's suburban demographics and voting history underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Scenarios that could alter the outlook include an incumbent retirement, significant scandal, or unforeseen national political shift, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,367Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 61% margin in the 2024 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 contest, with primaries scheduled for August. The southwestern district's suburban demographics and voting history underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Scenarios that could alter the outlook include an incumbent retirement, significant scandal, or unforeseen national political shift, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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