Connecticut’s 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and has elected only Democratic representatives since 2007, anchoring trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Incumbent Jim Himes, first elected in 2009 and re-elected with 61 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 11 but holds substantial fundraising and name recognition. Republican primary candidates have yet to demonstrate the resources or profile needed to contest the general election on November 3. All major rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A Democratic win could still be threatened by an unforeseen primary upset, a national political shift of historic scale, or late-cycle developments that significantly alter turnout patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCT-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CT-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$32,367 Vol.
$32,367 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
4%
$32,367 Vol.
$32,367 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$14,042 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$18,325 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and has elected only Democratic representatives since 2007, anchoring trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Incumbent Jim Himes, first elected in 2009 and re-elected with 61 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 11 but holds substantial fundraising and name recognition. Republican primary candidates have yet to demonstrate the resources or profile needed to contest the general election on November 3. All major rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A Democratic win could still be threatened by an unforeseen primary upset, a national political shift of historic scale, or late-cycle developments that significantly alter turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$32,367Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and has elected only Democratic representatives since 2007, anchoring trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Incumbent Jim Himes, first elected in 2009 and re-elected with 61 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 11 but holds substantial fundraising and name recognition. Republican primary candidates have yet to demonstrate the resources or profile needed to contest the general election on November 3. All major rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A Democratic win could still be threatened by an unforeseen primary upset, a national political shift of historic scale, or late-cycle developments that significantly alter turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,367Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut’s 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and has elected only Democratic representatives since 2007, anchoring trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Incumbent Jim Himes, first elected in 2009 and re-elected with 61 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 11 but holds substantial fundraising and name recognition. Republican primary candidates have yet to demonstrate the resources or profile needed to contest the general election on November 3. All major rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A Democratic win could still be threatened by an unforeseen primary upset, a national political shift of historic scale, or late-cycle developments that significantly alter turnout patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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