Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results where the Democratic nominee has secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Betty McCollum, serving since 2001, faces only a nominal Democratic primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and enters the November general election with broad institutional support and no significant Republican threat emerging from the August primary field. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with the district's urban and suburban composition in the Twin Cities metro area. Trader pricing incorporates this structural advantage alongside historical turnout patterns and limited fundraising activity from potential opponents, though an unexpected national shift or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow margins in a low-turnout environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-04
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-04
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$3,370 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$4,742 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results where the Democratic nominee has secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Betty McCollum, serving since 2001, faces only a nominal Democratic primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and enters the November general election with broad institutional support and no significant Republican threat emerging from the August primary field. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with the district's urban and suburban composition in the Twin Cities metro area. Trader pricing incorporates this structural advantage alongside historical turnout patterns and limited fundraising activity from potential opponents, though an unexpected national shift or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow margins in a low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$8,112Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results where the Democratic nominee has secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Betty McCollum, serving since 2001, faces only a nominal Democratic primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and enters the November general election with broad institutional support and no significant Republican threat emerging from the August primary field. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with the district's urban and suburban composition in the Twin Cities metro area. Trader pricing incorporates this structural advantage alongside historical turnout patterns and limited fundraising activity from potential opponents, though an unexpected national shift or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow margins in a low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$8,112Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results where the Democratic nominee has secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Betty McCollum, serving since 2001, faces only a nominal Democratic primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and enters the November general election with broad institutional support and no significant Republican threat emerging from the August primary field. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with the district's urban and suburban composition in the Twin Cities metro area. Trader pricing incorporates this structural advantage alongside historical turnout patterns and limited fundraising activity from potential opponents, though an unexpected national shift or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow margins in a low-turnout environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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