The district's strong Democratic partisan lean and long-serving incumbent Brad Sherman anchor trader consensus on a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting under Proposition 50 further solidified the seat's Democratic tilt, while the June 2 top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates but no prominent Republican challengers. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 percent, with limited outside spending or national attention altering the trajectory. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late voter turnout changes in key Los Angeles County areas, or broader midterm dynamics affecting House control.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-32 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-32 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$14,412 Vol.
$14,412 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
$14,412 Vol.
$14,412 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$5,871 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$8,541 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic partisan lean and long-serving incumbent Brad Sherman anchor trader consensus on a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting under Proposition 50 further solidified the seat's Democratic tilt, while the June 2 top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates but no prominent Republican challengers. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 percent, with limited outside spending or national attention altering the trajectory. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late voter turnout changes in key Los Angeles County areas, or broader midterm dynamics affecting House control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$14,412Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic partisan lean and long-serving incumbent Brad Sherman anchor trader consensus on a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting under Proposition 50 further solidified the seat's Democratic tilt, while the June 2 top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates but no prominent Republican challengers. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 percent, with limited outside spending or national attention altering the trajectory. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late voter turnout changes in key Los Angeles County areas, or broader midterm dynamics affecting House control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,412Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic partisan lean and long-serving incumbent Brad Sherman anchor trader consensus on a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting under Proposition 50 further solidified the seat's Democratic tilt, while the June 2 top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates but no prominent Republican challengers. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 percent, with limited outside spending or national attention altering the trajectory. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late voter turnout changes in key Los Angeles County areas, or broader midterm dynamics affecting House control.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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