The 9th Congressional District of Illinois maintains a strongly Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent ratings of solid or safe Democratic from major forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement created an open seat, but Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary and faces Republican nominee John Elleson. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's electoral history and the absence of competitive polling or developments that would indicate a shift. A national political wave, significant candidate controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current structural factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$20,178 Vol.
$20,178 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$20,178 Vol.
$20,178 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$13,719 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$6,499 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 9th Congressional District of Illinois maintains a strongly Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent ratings of solid or safe Democratic from major forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement created an open seat, but Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary and faces Republican nominee John Elleson. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's electoral history and the absence of competitive polling or developments that would indicate a shift. A national political wave, significant candidate controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$20,178Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 9th Congressional District of Illinois maintains a strongly Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent ratings of solid or safe Democratic from major forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement created an open seat, but Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary and faces Republican nominee John Elleson. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's electoral history and the absence of competitive polling or developments that would indicate a shift. A national political wave, significant candidate controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$20,178Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 9th Congressional District of Illinois maintains a strongly Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent ratings of solid or safe Democratic from major forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement created an open seat, but Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary and faces Republican nominee John Elleson. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's electoral history and the absence of competitive polling or developments that would indicate a shift. A national political wave, significant candidate controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current structural factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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