Maryland's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Sarah Elfreth faces multiple challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary but holds a clear path to the general election on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary features several candidates, yet the district's partisan composition and historical margins limit opposition prospects. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, while scenarios such as an unforeseen national political shift or primary upset could introduce limited uncertainty before the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$22,761 Vol.
$22,761 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$22,761 Vol.
$22,761 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$15,939 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$6,822 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Sarah Elfreth faces multiple challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary but holds a clear path to the general election on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary features several candidates, yet the district's partisan composition and historical margins limit opposition prospects. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, while scenarios such as an unforeseen national political shift or primary upset could introduce limited uncertainty before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$22,761Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Sarah Elfreth faces multiple challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary but holds a clear path to the general election on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary features several candidates, yet the district's partisan composition and historical margins limit opposition prospects. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, while scenarios such as an unforeseen national political shift or primary upset could introduce limited uncertainty before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,761Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Sarah Elfreth faces multiple challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary but holds a clear path to the general election on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary features several candidates, yet the district's partisan composition and historical margins limit opposition prospects. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, while scenarios such as an unforeseen national political shift or primary upset could introduce limited uncertainty before the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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