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Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska

Mary Peltola 59%

Dan Sullivan 41%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

Polymarket

$290,570 Vol.

Mary Peltola 59%

Dan Sullivan 41%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

Polymarket

$290,570 Vol.

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Mary Peltola

$146,571 Vol.

59%

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Dan Sullivan

$80,648 Vol.

41%

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Dustin Darden

$17,579 Vol.

<1%

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Ann Diener

$29,843 Vol.

<1%

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Richard Grayson

$15,929 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.A fresh Alaska Survey Research poll from March 19-22, surveying nearly 2,000 registered voters, shows Democrat Mary Peltola leading incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round, shifting trader consensus to imply 58.5% odds for her victory versus 41% for Sullivan. Peltola's favorability edge—49% positive versus Sullivan's 41%—and crossover appeal from her time as U.S. House Representative have narrowed what was once a GOP advantage since her January campaign launch. Minor candidates like Dustin Darden hold under 1% amid negligible support. The race heads to Alaska's August 18 top-four primary and November 3 ranked-choice general election, where turnout and second-choice votes could prove decisive.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volumen
$290,570
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.A fresh Alaska Survey Research poll from March 19-22, surveying nearly 2,000 registered voters, shows Democrat Mary Peltola leading incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round, shifting trader consensus to imply 58.5% odds for her victory versus 41% for Sullivan. Peltola's favorability edge—49% positive versus Sullivan's 41%—and crossover appeal from her time as U.S. House Representative have narrowed what was once a GOP advantage since her January campaign launch. Minor candidates like Dustin Darden hold under 1% amid negligible support. The race heads to Alaska's August 18 top-four primary and November 3 ranked-choice general election, where turnout and second-choice votes could prove decisive.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volumen
$290,570
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mary Peltola" con 59%, seguido de "Dan Sullivan" con 41%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska" ha generado $290.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska" es "Mary Peltola" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dan Sullivan" con 41%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.