A fresh Alaska Survey Research poll from March 19-22, surveying nearly 2,000 registered voters, shows Democrat Mary Peltola leading incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round, shifting trader consensus to imply 58.5% odds for her victory versus 41% for Sullivan. Peltola's favorability edge—49% positive versus Sullivan's 41%—and crossover appeal from her time as U.S. House Representative have narrowed what was once a GOP advantage since her January campaign launch. Minor candidates like Dustin Darden hold under 1% amid negligible support. The race heads to Alaska's August 18 top-four primary and November 3 ranked-choice general election, where turnout and second-choice votes could prove decisive.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska
Mary Peltola 59%
Dan Sullivan 41%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$290,570 Vol.
$290,570 Vol.

Mary Peltola
59%

Dan Sullivan
41%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 59%
Dan Sullivan 41%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$290,570 Vol.
$290,570 Vol.

Mary Peltola
59%

Dan Sullivan
41%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A fresh Alaska Survey Research poll from March 19-22, surveying nearly 2,000 registered voters, shows Democrat Mary Peltola leading incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round, shifting trader consensus to imply 58.5% odds for her victory versus 41% for Sullivan. Peltola's favorability edge—49% positive versus Sullivan's 41%—and crossover appeal from her time as U.S. House Representative have narrowed what was once a GOP advantage since her January campaign launch. Minor candidates like Dustin Darden hold under 1% amid negligible support. The race heads to Alaska's August 18 top-four primary and November 3 ranked-choice general election, where turnout and second-choice votes could prove decisive.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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