New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent Melanie Stansbury's 56.4% victory in 2024. Stansbury secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke emerged from a limited field. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's Albuquerque-centered demographics, historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the race toward competitiveness. A national Republican surge, significant Democratic scandal, or unexpected shifts in voter registration could still alter outcomes before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes NM-01
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes NM-01
$33,654 Vol.
$33,654 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$33,654 Vol.
$33,654 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$17,752 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$15,902 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent Melanie Stansbury's 56.4% victory in 2024. Stansbury secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke emerged from a limited field. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's Albuquerque-centered demographics, historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the race toward competitiveness. A national Republican surge, significant Democratic scandal, or unexpected shifts in voter registration could still alter outcomes before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$33,654Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent Melanie Stansbury's 56.4% victory in 2024. Stansbury secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke emerged from a limited field. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's Albuquerque-centered demographics, historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the race toward competitiveness. A national Republican surge, significant Democratic scandal, or unexpected shifts in voter registration could still alter outcomes before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$33,654Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent Melanie Stansbury's 56.4% victory in 2024. Stansbury secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke emerged from a limited field. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's Albuquerque-centered demographics, historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the race toward competitiveness. A national Republican surge, significant Democratic scandal, or unexpected shifts in voter registration could still alter outcomes before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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