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Política·Cámara De Representantes

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Market icon
Política·Cámara De Representantes

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries 85%

Katherine Clark 7%

Jim Jordan 6.1%

Steve Scalise 4.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Hakeem Jeffries 85%

Katherine Clark 7%

Jim Jordan 6.1%

Steve Scalise 4.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? icon

Hakeem Jeffries

$190 Vol.

85%

Will Katherine Clark be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? icon

Katherine Clark

$55 Vol.

7%

Will Pete Aguilar be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? icon

Pete Aguilar

$65 Vol.

2%

Will Jim Jordan be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? icon

Jim Jordan

$88 Vol.

6%

Will Steve Scalise be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? icon

Steve Scalise

$55 Vol.

4%

Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? icon

Mike Johnson

$65 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Hakeem Jeffries as Speaker following the 2026 midterms, driven by sustained Democratic leads in generic ballot polling averages—D +5.6 as of April 17 per Nate Silver's tracker, steady over the past week amid President Trump's midterm penalty dynamics. This implies Democrats flipping the GOP's narrow House majority by gaining just a handful of seats in battleground districts. Jeffries, as House Minority Leader, stands as the presumptive Democratic nominee with unified caucus support, while secondary Democratic options like Katherine Clark and Pete Aguilar trail far behind. Republican contenders such as Jim Jordan, Steve Scalise, and incumbent Mike Johnson reflect slim odds of retaining control, per aligned Polymarket pricing on House majority at 85% Democrats. Key upcoming catalysts include special elections, primaries, and further polling shifts before November voting.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$517
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Hakeem Jeffries as Speaker following the 2026 midterms, driven by sustained Democratic leads in generic ballot polling averages—D +5.6 as of April 17 per Nate Silver's tracker, steady over the past week amid President Trump's midterm penalty dynamics. This implies Democrats flipping the GOP's narrow House majority by gaining just a handful of seats in battleground districts. Jeffries, as House Minority Leader, stands as the presumptive Democratic nominee with unified caucus support, while secondary Democratic options like Katherine Clark and Pete Aguilar trail far behind. Republican contenders such as Jim Jordan, Steve Scalise, and incumbent Mike Johnson reflect slim odds of retaining control, per aligned Polymarket pricing on House majority at 85% Democrats. Key upcoming catalysts include special elections, primaries, and further polling shifts before November voting.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$517
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Speaker of the House after the midterms?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Hakeem Jeffries" con 85%, seguido de "Katherine Clark" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 85¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Speaker of the House after the midterms?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 8, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Speaker of the House after the midterms?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" es "Hakeem Jeffries" con 85%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Katherine Clark" con 7%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.