**Dan Cox holds a trader consensus edge at 51.5% implied probability for the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary nomination**, bolstered by his 2022 primary victory and enduring support from the party's Trump-aligned base, amplified by his October 2024 campaign announcement emphasizing election integrity and conservative priorities. Self-funding businessman Ed Hale follows at 33.8%, appealing to moderates wary of Cox's 36% general election showing against Democrat Wes Moore, with recent filings highlighting his financial edge. Trailing candidates like Christopher Bouchat (5%) and Steve Hershey (4%) lag in polling and fundraising amid a wide field. With the 2026 primary distant, low-turnout dynamics favor Cox's grassroots mobilization, though Hale's resources and potential endorsements could shift odds ahead of filing deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoDan Cox 52%
Ed Hale 33.8%
Christopher Bouchat 5%
Steve Hershey 4.0%
$298,626 Vol.
$298,626 Vol.
Dan Cox
52%
Ed Hale
34%
Christopher Bouchat
5%
Steve Hershey
4%
Kurt Wedekind
3%
John Myrick
2%
Larry Hogan
2%
Carl Brunner
2%
Dan Cox 52%
Ed Hale 33.8%
Christopher Bouchat 5%
Steve Hershey 4.0%
$298,626 Vol.
$298,626 Vol.
Dan Cox
52%
Ed Hale
34%
Christopher Bouchat
5%
Steve Hershey
4%
Kurt Wedekind
3%
John Myrick
2%
Larry Hogan
2%
Carl Brunner
2%
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Dan Cox holds a trader consensus edge at 51.5% implied probability for the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary nomination**, bolstered by his 2022 primary victory and enduring support from the party's Trump-aligned base, amplified by his October 2024 campaign announcement emphasizing election integrity and conservative priorities. Self-funding businessman Ed Hale follows at 33.8%, appealing to moderates wary of Cox's 36% general election showing against Democrat Wes Moore, with recent filings highlighting his financial edge. Trailing candidates like Christopher Bouchat (5%) and Steve Hershey (4%) lag in polling and fundraising amid a wide field. With the 2026 primary distant, low-turnout dynamics favor Cox's grassroots mobilization, though Hale's resources and potential endorsements could shift odds ahead of filing deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes