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¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?

Market icon

¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?

6 3.0%

8+ 2.5%

7 1.5%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$24,634 Vol.

6 3.0%

8+ 2.5%

7 1.5%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$24,634 Vol.

0

$5,267 Vol.

<1%

1

$2,123 Vol.

<1%

2

$7,070 Vol.

<1%

3

$2,556 Vol.

1%

4

$1,757 Vol.

53%

5

$3,153 Vol.

30%

6

$2,086 Vol.

3%

7

$445 Vol.

2%

8+

$185 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With two public laws enacted so far—S. 4138 on March 20 waiving a notice requirement for a posthumous Army promotion and H.R. 7211 on March 26 authorizing a Medal of Honor for Vietnam War hero John W. Ripley—trader consensus favors four total signatures at 46%, anticipating two more amid the 119th Congress's low bill passage rate of around 80 laws overall. Recent House floor action on March 26, including H.R. 8029 for homeland security funding, bolsters expectations for quick Senate concurrence and presidential approval before month-end. President Trump's early March threat to veto bills until SAVE America Act passage slowed major legislation like remaining FY2026 appropriations, channeling activity to minor measures and keeping higher counts like 6+ improbable.

With two public laws enacted so far—S. 4138 on March 20 waiving a notice requirement for a posthumous Army promotion and H.R. 7211 on March 26 authorizing a Medal of Honor for Vietnam War hero John W. Ripley—trader consensus favors four total signatures at 46%, anticipating two more amid the 119th Congress's low bill passage rate of around 80 laws overall. Recent House floor action on March 26, including H.R. 8029 for homeland security funding, bolsters expectations for quick Senate concurrence and presidential approval before month-end. President Trump's early March threat to veto bills until SAVE America Act passage slowed major legislation like remaining FY2026 appropriations, channeling activity to minor measures and keeping higher counts like 6+ improbable.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With two public laws enacted so far—S. 4138 on March 20 waiving a notice requirement for a posthumous Army promotion and H.R. 7211 on March 26 authorizing a Medal of Honor for Vietnam War hero John W. Ripley—trader consensus favors four total signatures at 46%, anticipating two more amid the 119th Congress's low bill passage rate of around 80 laws overall. Recent House floor action on March 26, including H.R. 8029 for homeland security funding, bolsters expectations for quick Senate concurrence and presidential approval before month-end. President Trump's early March threat to veto bills until SAVE America Act passage slowed major legislation like remaining FY2026 appropriations, channeling activity to minor measures and keeping higher counts like 6+ improbable.

With two public laws enacted so far—S. 4138 on March 20 waiving a notice requirement for a posthumous Army promotion and H.R. 7211 on March 26 authorizing a Medal of Honor for Vietnam War hero John W. Ripley—trader consensus favors four total signatures at 46%, anticipating two more amid the 119th Congress's low bill passage rate of around 80 laws overall. Recent House floor action on March 26, including H.R. 8029 for homeland security funding, bolsters expectations for quick Senate concurrence and presidential approval before month-end. President Trump's early March threat to veto bills until SAVE America Act passage slowed major legislation like remaining FY2026 appropriations, channeling activity to minor measures and keeping higher counts like 6+ improbable.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "4" con 53%, seguido de "5" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 53¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?" ha generado $24.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?" es "4" con 53%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "5" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.