Senate's defeat of a third Iran war powers resolution on March 24 by a 47-53 vote, coupled with House Democratic leaders delaying their vote until at least mid-April, has solidified trader consensus at 99.6% against passage by March 31. Earlier attempts, including Sen. Tim Kaine's measure and H.Con.Res.75, failed amid Republican majorities in both chambers backing President Trump's military operations against Iran, framed as non-war actions to sidestep formal approval needs. With Congress not in session and no fast-tracked bills advancing, the deadline looms without viable path forward. Only an improbable emergency session or bipartisan breakthrough could shift odds, though historical patterns favor inaction on curbing executive military authority.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$57,486 Vol.
$57,486 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Sí
$57,486 Vol.
$57,486 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Senate's defeat of a third Iran war powers resolution on March 24 by a 47-53 vote, coupled with House Democratic leaders delaying their vote until at least mid-April, has solidified trader consensus at 99.6% against passage by March 31. Earlier attempts, including Sen. Tim Kaine's measure and H.Con.Res.75, failed amid Republican majorities in both chambers backing President Trump's military operations against Iran, framed as non-war actions to sidestep formal approval needs. With Congress not in session and no fast-tracked bills advancing, the deadline looms without viable path forward. Only an improbable emergency session or bipartisan breakthrough could shift odds, though historical patterns favor inaction on curbing executive military authority.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volumen
$57,486Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Senate's defeat of a third Iran war powers resolution on March 24 by a 47-53 vote, coupled with House Democratic leaders delaying their vote until at least mid-April, has solidified trader consensus at 99.6% against passage by March 31. Earlier attempts, including Sen. Tim Kaine's measure and H.Con.Res.75, failed amid Republican majorities in both chambers backing President Trump's military operations against Iran, framed as non-war actions to sidestep formal approval needs. With Congress not in session and no fast-tracked bills advancing, the deadline looms without viable path forward. Only an improbable emergency session or bipartisan breakthrough could shift odds, though historical patterns favor inaction on curbing executive military authority.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$57,486Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Senate's defeat of a third Iran war powers resolution on March 24 by a 47-53 vote, coupled with House Democratic leaders delaying their vote until at least mid-April, has solidified trader consensus at 99.6% against passage by March 31. Earlier attempts, including Sen. Tim Kaine's measure and H.Con.Res.75, failed amid Republican majorities in both chambers backing President Trump's military operations against Iran, framed as non-war actions to sidestep formal approval needs. With Congress not in session and no fast-tracked bills advancing, the deadline looms without viable path forward. Only an improbable emergency session or bipartisan breakthrough could shift odds, though historical patterns favor inaction on curbing executive military authority.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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