Republican control of the House and Senate following the January 2025 congressional session underpins the 96% trader consensus against Donald Trump's impeachment by June 30, as GOP majorities make House articles of impeachment and subsequent Senate conviction—requiring a two-thirds supermajority—highly improbable. No formal proceedings have advanced, with Democrats lacking votes despite occasional partisan rhetoric over potential pardons or policy disputes. The compressed timeline post-inauguration further dampens prospects. Realistic shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal prompting bipartisan backlash or GOP defections, though historical precedents like unified party loyalty in recent impeachments suggest minimal risk of market movement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$175,848 Vol.
$175,848 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Sí
$175,848 Vol.
$175,848 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
Volumen
$175,848Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$175,848Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House and Senate following the January 2025 congressional session underpins the 96% trader consensus against Donald Trump's impeachment by June 30, as GOP majorities make House articles of impeachment and subsequent Senate conviction—requiring a two-thirds supermajority—highly improbable. No formal proceedings have advanced, with Democrats lacking votes despite occasional partisan rhetoric over potential pardons or policy disputes. The compressed timeline post-inauguration further dampens prospects. Realistic shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal prompting bipartisan backlash or GOP defections, though historical precedents like unified party loyalty in recent impeachments suggest minimal risk of market movement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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