Market icon
Política·Congreso

H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?

Market icon
Política·Congreso

H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?

Sí

13% chance
Polymarket

$132,320 Vol.

Sí

13% chance
Polymarket

$132,320 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which mandates documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 but has languished in the Senate without committee action or floor vote for nearly a year, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability of no enactment in 2026. Mid-March 2026 Senate debate on the companion SAVE America Act stalled amid Democratic filibuster threats, lacking the 60 votes needed for cloture despite Republican majority control. GOP leadership, wary of filibuster reform precedents, prioritized DHS funding resolutions over forcing a vote, while opposition from voting rights advocates and mayors underscored partisan gridlock. With the 119th Congress facing midterms and appropriations deadlines, traders anticipate continued impasse barring bipartisan breakthrough.

The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which mandates documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 but has languished in the Senate without committee action or floor vote for nearly a year, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability of no enactment in 2026. Mid-March 2026 Senate debate on the companion SAVE America Act stalled amid Democratic filibuster threats, lacking the 60 votes needed for cloture despite Republican majority control. GOP leadership, wary of filibuster reform precedents, prioritized DHS funding resolutions over forcing a vote, while opposition from voting rights advocates and mayors underscored partisan gridlock. With the 119th Congress facing midterms and appropriations deadlines, traders anticipate continued impasse barring bipartisan breakthrough.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which mandates documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 but has languished in the Senate without committee action or floor vote for nearly a year, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability of no enactment in 2026. Mid-March 2026 Senate debate on the companion SAVE America Act stalled amid Democratic filibuster threats, lacking the 60 votes needed for cloture despite Republican majority control. GOP leadership, wary of filibuster reform precedents, prioritized DHS funding resolutions over forcing a vote, while opposition from voting rights advocates and mayors underscored partisan gridlock. With the 119th Congress facing midterms and appropriations deadlines, traders anticipate continued impasse barring bipartisan breakthrough.

The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which mandates documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 but has languished in the Senate without committee action or floor vote for nearly a year, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability of no enactment in 2026. Mid-March 2026 Senate debate on the companion SAVE America Act stalled amid Democratic filibuster threats, lacking the 60 votes needed for cloture despite Republican majority control. GOP leadership, wary of filibuster reform precedents, prioritized DHS funding resolutions over forcing a vote, while opposition from voting rights advocates and mayors underscored partisan gridlock. With the 119th Congress facing midterms and appropriations deadlines, traders anticipate continued impasse barring bipartisan breakthrough.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) fue promulgada como ley en 2026?" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 13¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 13% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?" ha generado $132.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?" es "¿H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) fue promulgada como ley en 2026?" con 13%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 13% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

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