White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's punctuality to scheduled briefings remains unpredictable, with trader consensus pricing a tight contest among <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35%), and 25-30 minutes (34.5%) late, reflecting her recent pattern of moderate delays. In February, Leavitt apologized for starting late after monitoring breaking developments alongside President Trump, including national security updates, while January conferences saw slight delays amid Davos-related issues. Ongoing Iran tensions, recent airstrikes, troop surges, and domestic pressures like DHS funding threats and TSA disruptions heighten risks of last-minute executive consultations pulling her from the podium. A calm news cycle could favor on-time arrival, but escalation in foreign policy or agency actions may push delays beyond 25 minutes, creating separation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado<15 minutos 36%
20 - 25 minutos 35%
25 - 30 minutos 35%
30 - 35 minutos 31%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
<15 minutos
36%
15 - 20 minutos
23%
20 - 25 minutos
35%
25 - 30 minutos
35%
30 - 35 minutos
31%
35+ minutos
21%
<15 minutos 36%
20 - 25 minutos 35%
25 - 30 minutos 35%
30 - 35 minutos 31%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
<15 minutos
$2 Vol.
36%
15 - 20 minutos
$10 Vol.
23%
20 - 25 minutos
$0 Vol.
35%
25 - 30 minutos
$0 Vol.
35%
30 - 35 minutos
$0 Vol.
31%
35+ minutos
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's punctuality to scheduled briefings remains unpredictable, with trader consensus pricing a tight contest among <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35%), and 25-30 minutes (34.5%) late, reflecting her recent pattern of moderate delays. In February, Leavitt apologized for starting late after monitoring breaking developments alongside President Trump, including national security updates, while January conferences saw slight delays amid Davos-related issues. Ongoing Iran tensions, recent airstrikes, troop surges, and domestic pressures like DHS funding threats and TSA disruptions heighten risks of last-minute executive consultations pulling her from the podium. A calm news cycle could favor on-time arrival, but escalation in foreign policy or agency actions may push delays beyond 25 minutes, creating separation.
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
Volumen
$12Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's punctuality to scheduled briefings remains unpredictable, with trader consensus pricing a tight contest among <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35%), and 25-30 minutes (34.5%) late, reflecting her recent pattern of moderate delays. In February, Leavitt apologized for starting late after monitoring breaking developments alongside President Trump, including national security updates, while January conferences saw slight delays amid Davos-related issues. Ongoing Iran tensions, recent airstrikes, troop surges, and domestic pressures like DHS funding threats and TSA disruptions heighten risks of last-minute executive consultations pulling her from the podium. A calm news cycle could favor on-time arrival, but escalation in foreign policy or agency actions may push delays beyond 25 minutes, creating separation.
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Volumen
$12Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's punctuality to scheduled briefings remains unpredictable, with trader consensus pricing a tight contest among <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35%), and 25-30 minutes (34.5%) late, reflecting her recent pattern of moderate delays. In February, Leavitt apologized for starting late after monitoring breaking developments alongside President Trump, including national security updates, while January conferences saw slight delays amid Davos-related issues. Ongoing Iran tensions, recent airstrikes, troop surges, and domestic pressures like DHS funding threats and TSA disruptions heighten risks of last-minute executive consultations pulling her from the podium. A calm news cycle could favor on-time arrival, but escalation in foreign policy or agency actions may push delays beyond 25 minutes, creating separation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes