The April 30, 2026, deadline for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire passed without any formal agreement or implementation, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as hostilities persist amid ongoing military actions like Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries and Russian advances in Donetsk. Recent diplomatic signals, including President Putin's Victory Day truce proposal for May 9 discussed with U.S. President Trump and Zelenskyy's counter-offer for a long-term halt, failed to yield a deal by the cutoff, echoing earlier limited Easter truces that did not qualify as comprehensive ceasefires. While late-breaking negotiations or official clarifications could theoretically prompt resolution disputes, entrenched positions and active frontline escalations solidify high confidence in the "No" outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Un alto el fuego entre Rusia y Ucrania para el 30 de abril de 2026?
¿Un alto el fuego entre Rusia y Ucrania para el 30 de abril de 2026?
Sí
$9,527,883 Vol.
$9,527,883 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Sí
$9,527,883 Vol.
$9,527,883 Vol.
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.The April 30, 2026, deadline for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire passed without any formal agreement or implementation, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as hostilities persist amid ongoing military actions like Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries and Russian advances in Donetsk. Recent diplomatic signals, including President Putin's Victory Day truce proposal for May 9 discussed with U.S. President Trump and Zelenskyy's counter-offer for a long-term halt, failed to yield a deal by the cutoff, echoing earlier limited Easter truces that did not qualify as comprehensive ceasefires. While late-breaking negotiations or official clarifications could theoretically prompt resolution disputes, entrenched positions and active frontline escalations solidify high confidence in the "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$9,527,883Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.The April 30, 2026, deadline for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire passed without any formal agreement or implementation, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as hostilities persist amid ongoing military actions like Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries and Russian advances in Donetsk. Recent diplomatic signals, including President Putin's Victory Day truce proposal for May 9 discussed with U.S. President Trump and Zelenskyy's counter-offer for a long-term halt, failed to yield a deal by the cutoff, echoing earlier limited Easter truces that did not qualify as comprehensive ceasefires. While late-breaking negotiations or official clarifications could theoretically prompt resolution disputes, entrenched positions and active frontline escalations solidify high confidence in the "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volumen
$9,527,883Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The April 30, 2026, deadline for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire passed without any formal agreement or implementation, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as hostilities persist amid ongoing military actions like Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries and Russian advances in Donetsk. Recent diplomatic signals, including President Putin's Victory Day truce proposal for May 9 discussed with U.S. President Trump and Zelenskyy's counter-offer for a long-term halt, failed to yield a deal by the cutoff, echoing earlier limited Easter truces that did not qualify as comprehensive ceasefires. While late-breaking negotiations or official clarifications could theoretically prompt resolution disputes, entrenched positions and active frontline escalations solidify high confidence in the "No" outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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