The United States has upheld a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear testing since its last underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, relying instead on the Stockpile Stewardship Program to certify its arsenal. President Trump's October 2025 directive to the Pentagon to prepare resumption—citing Russia, China, and North Korea's advancements—sparked preparations and congressional pushback, including the RESTRAIN Act and No Nuclear Testing Act to block funding. As of May 2026, no test has occurred, with Russia recently reaffirming its moratorium and urging U.S. ratification of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. Traders monitor funding votes, Nevada delegation opposition, and NPT Review Conference discussions amid estimates of 24-36 months for full readiness.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Prueba nuclear de EE. UU. realizada por...?
¿Prueba nuclear de EE. UU. realizada por...?
$658,461 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio de 2026
3%
30 de septiembre de 2026
6%
31 de diciembre de 2026
10%
$658,461 Vol.
30 de junio de 2026
$33,298 Vol.
3%
30 de septiembre de 2026
$5,552 Vol.
6%
31 de diciembre de 2026
$9,392 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has upheld a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear testing since its last underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, relying instead on the Stockpile Stewardship Program to certify its arsenal. President Trump's October 2025 directive to the Pentagon to prepare resumption—citing Russia, China, and North Korea's advancements—sparked preparations and congressional pushback, including the RESTRAIN Act and No Nuclear Testing Act to block funding. As of May 2026, no test has occurred, with Russia recently reaffirming its moratorium and urging U.S. ratification of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. Traders monitor funding votes, Nevada delegation opposition, and NPT Review Conference discussions amid estimates of 24-36 months for full readiness.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$658,461Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has upheld a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear testing since its last underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, relying instead on the Stockpile Stewardship Program to certify its arsenal. President Trump's October 2025 directive to the Pentagon to prepare resumption—citing Russia, China, and North Korea's advancements—sparked preparations and congressional pushback, including the RESTRAIN Act and No Nuclear Testing Act to block funding. As of May 2026, no test has occurred, with Russia recently reaffirming its moratorium and urging U.S. ratification of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. Traders monitor funding votes, Nevada delegation opposition, and NPT Review Conference discussions amid estimates of 24-36 months for full readiness.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$658,461Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States has upheld a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear testing since its last underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, relying instead on the Stockpile Stewardship Program to certify its arsenal. President Trump's October 2025 directive to the Pentagon to prepare resumption—citing Russia, China, and North Korea's advancements—sparked preparations and congressional pushback, including the RESTRAIN Act and No Nuclear Testing Act to block funding. As of May 2026, no test has occurred, with Russia recently reaffirming its moratorium and urging U.S. ratification of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. Traders monitor funding votes, Nevada delegation opposition, and NPT Review Conference discussions amid estimates of 24-36 months for full readiness.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes