Trader consensus prices an 84.5% implied probability on "No" for Zelenskyy exiting as Ukraine's president by end-2026, driven by the Verkhovna Rada's April 28 approval—signed by Zelenskyy on April 30—of the latest 90-day martial law extension to August 2, 2026, prohibiting elections under constitutional rules that extend his tenure until a successor is elected post-martial law. Absent a ceasefire or de-escalation in the ongoing Russian invasion, which Zelenskyy has repeatedly conditioned for any vote (as reaffirmed in February-March statements defying U.S. pressure), no viable path exists for removal via ballot, resignation, or ouster. Recent military escalations, including drone barrages, reinforce expectations of prolonged conflict sustaining his wartime leadership.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$2,145,270 Vol.
$2,145,270 Vol.
Sí
$2,145,270 Vol.
$2,145,270 Vol.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus prices an 84.5% implied probability on "No" for Zelenskyy exiting as Ukraine's president by end-2026, driven by the Verkhovna Rada's April 28 approval—signed by Zelenskyy on April 30—of the latest 90-day martial law extension to August 2, 2026, prohibiting elections under constitutional rules that extend his tenure until a successor is elected post-martial law. Absent a ceasefire or de-escalation in the ongoing Russian invasion, which Zelenskyy has repeatedly conditioned for any vote (as reaffirmed in February-March statements defying U.S. pressure), no viable path exists for removal via ballot, resignation, or ouster. Recent military escalations, including drone barrages, reinforce expectations of prolonged conflict sustaining his wartime leadership.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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