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¿Trump enviará Tomahawk a Ucrania antes del...?

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¿Trump enviará Tomahawk a Ucrania antes del...?

$602,221 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$602,221 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de marzo de 2026

$101,799 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.President-elect Donald Trump has campaigned on rapidly resolving the Russia-Ukraine war through direct negotiations with Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy, criticizing Biden-era military aid exceeding $60 billion as prolonging the conflict without victory. Recent cabinet picks like Marco Rubio for Secretary of State and Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary signal a potential shift toward conditioning or curtailing US aid, prioritizing "America First" diplomacy over escalation. No public statements or leaks suggest plans to supply advanced Tomahawk cruise missiles, which would contradict Trump's pledges to avoid further offensive weapons. Key upcoming events include Trump's January 20, 2025, inauguration, lame-duck congressional aid votes, and initial National Security Council meetings that could clarify foreign policy on Ukraine.

President-elect Donald Trump has campaigned on rapidly resolving the Russia-Ukraine war through direct negotiations with Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy, criticizing Biden-era military aid exceeding $60 billion as prolonging the conflict without victory. Recent cabinet picks like Marco Rubio for Secretary of State and Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary signal a potential shift toward conditioning or curtailing US aid, prioritizing "America First" diplomacy over escalation. No public statements or leaks suggest plans to supply advanced Tomahawk cruise missiles, which would contradict Trump's pledges to avoid further offensive weapons. Key upcoming events include Trump's January 20, 2025, inauguration, lame-duck congressional aid votes, and initial National Security Council meetings that could clarify foreign policy on Ukraine.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.President-elect Donald Trump has campaigned on rapidly resolving the Russia-Ukraine war through direct negotiations with Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy, criticizing Biden-era military aid exceeding $60 billion as prolonging the conflict without victory. Recent cabinet picks like Marco Rubio for Secretary of State and Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary signal a potential shift toward conditioning or curtailing US aid, prioritizing "America First" diplomacy over escalation. No public statements or leaks suggest plans to supply advanced Tomahawk cruise missiles, which would contradict Trump's pledges to avoid further offensive weapons. Key upcoming events include Trump's January 20, 2025, inauguration, lame-duck congressional aid votes, and initial National Security Council meetings that could clarify foreign policy on Ukraine.

President-elect Donald Trump has campaigned on rapidly resolving the Russia-Ukraine war through direct negotiations with Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy, criticizing Biden-era military aid exceeding $60 billion as prolonging the conflict without victory. Recent cabinet picks like Marco Rubio for Secretary of State and Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary signal a potential shift toward conditioning or curtailing US aid, prioritizing "America First" diplomacy over escalation. No public statements or leaks suggest plans to supply advanced Tomahawk cruise missiles, which would contradict Trump's pledges to avoid further offensive weapons. Key upcoming events include Trump's January 20, 2025, inauguration, lame-duck congressional aid votes, and initial National Security Council meetings that could clarify foreign policy on Ukraine.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump enviará Tomahawk a Ucrania antes del...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de marzo de 2026" con 1%, seguido de "31 de octubre" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 1¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 1% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump enviará Tomahawk a Ucrania antes del...?" ha generado $602.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump enviará Tomahawk a Ucrania antes del...?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Trump enviará Tomahawk a Ucrania antes del...?" es "31 de marzo de 2026" con solo 1%, con "31 de octubre" muy cerca con 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump enviará Tomahawk a Ucrania antes del...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.