Trader consensus prices Tomahawk missile transfers from the Trump administration to Ukraine at very low implied probabilities, driven by President Trump's repeated rejections of such escalatory long-range weapons despite Pentagon clearance in late 2025 and Ukrainian requests during Zelenskyy visits. No shipments have materialized amid policy emphasis on ceasefire negotiations and reduced military aid to prioritize ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict diplomatically. Recent U.S. airstrikes against Iran have depleted Tomahawk stockpiles—over 850 fired in four weeks—erecting major logistical barriers. With the March 31, 2026 deadline approaching and no announcements of aid packages containing Tomahawks, traders see scant catalysts for reversal absent major battlefield shifts or diplomatic breakthroughs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$602,426 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
31 de marzo de 2026
1%
$602,426 Vol.
31 de marzo de 2026
$102,004 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.Trader consensus prices Tomahawk missile transfers from the Trump administration to Ukraine at very low implied probabilities, driven by President Trump's repeated rejections of such escalatory long-range weapons despite Pentagon clearance in late 2025 and Ukrainian requests during Zelenskyy visits. No shipments have materialized amid policy emphasis on ceasefire negotiations and reduced military aid to prioritize ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict diplomatically. Recent U.S. airstrikes against Iran have depleted Tomahawk stockpiles—over 850 fired in four weeks—erecting major logistical barriers. With the March 31, 2026 deadline approaching and no announcements of aid packages containing Tomahawks, traders see scant catalysts for reversal absent major battlefield shifts or diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
Volumen
$602,426Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.Trader consensus prices Tomahawk missile transfers from the Trump administration to Ukraine at very low implied probabilities, driven by President Trump's repeated rejections of such escalatory long-range weapons despite Pentagon clearance in late 2025 and Ukrainian requests during Zelenskyy visits. No shipments have materialized amid policy emphasis on ceasefire negotiations and reduced military aid to prioritize ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict diplomatically. Recent U.S. airstrikes against Iran have depleted Tomahawk stockpiles—over 850 fired in four weeks—erecting major logistical barriers. With the March 31, 2026 deadline approaching and no announcements of aid packages containing Tomahawks, traders see scant catalysts for reversal absent major battlefield shifts or diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.
A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.
For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.
Volumen
$602,426Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices Tomahawk missile transfers from the Trump administration to Ukraine at very low implied probabilities, driven by President Trump's repeated rejections of such escalatory long-range weapons despite Pentagon clearance in late 2025 and Ukrainian requests during Zelenskyy visits. No shipments have materialized amid policy emphasis on ceasefire negotiations and reduced military aid to prioritize ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict diplomatically. Recent U.S. airstrikes against Iran have depleted Tomahawk stockpiles—over 850 fired in four weeks—erecting major logistical barriers. With the March 31, 2026 deadline approaching and no announcements of aid packages containing Tomahawks, traders see scant catalysts for reversal absent major battlefield shifts or diplomatic breakthroughs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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