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Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay

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Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay

17% chance
Polymarket

$384,021 Vol.

17% chance
Polymarket

$384,021 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRussia's sustained offensive momentum in Donbas, capturing key villages like Avdiivka outskirts amid intensified artillery barrages, has reinforced trader consensus on "No" at 83% for the Russia x Ukraine peace parlay, reflecting a matchup tilted heavily against near-term resolution. Ukraine countered with drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, disrupting supply lines but sustaining heavy casualties and territorial losses, per recent frontline reports. No injury report equivalents—such as leadership changes or ceasefire concessions—have emerged, with Zelenskyy demanding full withdrawal to 1991 borders and Putin insisting on annexed regions' recognition. Absent diplomatic breakthroughs or armistice talks in the past week, Western aid bolsters Ukraine's defensive form but extends the stalemate, pricing peace as a long-shot upset.

Russia's sustained offensive momentum in Donbas, capturing key villages like Avdiivka outskirts amid intensified artillery barrages, has reinforced trader consensus on "No" at 83% for the Russia x Ukraine peace parlay, reflecting a matchup tilted heavily against near-term resolution. Ukraine countered with drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, disrupting supply lines but sustaining heavy casualties and territorial losses, per recent frontline reports. No injury report equivalents—such as leadership changes or ceasefire concessions—have emerged, with Zelenskyy demanding full withdrawal to 1991 borders and Putin insisting on annexed regions' recognition. Absent diplomatic breakthroughs or armistice talks in the past week, Western aid bolsters Ukraine's defensive form but extends the stalemate, pricing peace as a long-shot upset.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRussia's sustained offensive momentum in Donbas, capturing key villages like Avdiivka outskirts amid intensified artillery barrages, has reinforced trader consensus on "No" at 83% for the Russia x Ukraine peace parlay, reflecting a matchup tilted heavily against near-term resolution. Ukraine countered with drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, disrupting supply lines but sustaining heavy casualties and territorial losses, per recent frontline reports. No injury report equivalents—such as leadership changes or ceasefire concessions—have emerged, with Zelenskyy demanding full withdrawal to 1991 borders and Putin insisting on annexed regions' recognition. Absent diplomatic breakthroughs or armistice talks in the past week, Western aid bolsters Ukraine's defensive form but extends the stalemate, pricing peace as a long-shot upset.

Russia's sustained offensive momentum in Donbas, capturing key villages like Avdiivka outskirts amid intensified artillery barrages, has reinforced trader consensus on "No" at 83% for the Russia x Ukraine peace parlay, reflecting a matchup tilted heavily against near-term resolution. Ukraine countered with drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, disrupting supply lines but sustaining heavy casualties and territorial losses, per recent frontline reports. No injury report equivalents—such as leadership changes or ceasefire concessions—have emerged, with Zelenskyy demanding full withdrawal to 1991 borders and Putin insisting on annexed regions' recognition. Absent diplomatic breakthroughs or armistice talks in the past week, Western aid bolsters Ukraine's defensive form but extends the stalemate, pricing peace as a long-shot upset.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rusia x Ucrania Conversaciones de Paz" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 17¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay" ha generado $384K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 24, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay" es "Rusia x Ucrania Conversaciones de Paz" con 17%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.