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¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania programado por...?

Market icon

¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania programado por...?

$221,911 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$221,911 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de marzo

$18,578 Vol.

2%

30 de junio

$57,991 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No Ukraine peace referendum has been officially scheduled, as peace negotiations between Kyiv and Moscow remain stalled despite intensified diplomatic signals following the US presidential election. President Zelenskyy has reiterated that constitutional requirements mandate a national referendum for any territorial concessions, but recent Russian advances in Donetsk oblast and Ukrainian operations in Kursk have entrenched the military stalemate without breakthroughs. President-elect Trump's pledge for a swift resolution prompted Putin to express openness to talks, yet Ukraine demands full troop withdrawal and security guarantees before considering referendums. Traders watch upcoming Trump-Zelenskyy meetings post-inauguration and NATO summits in early 2025 for potential catalysts to accelerate diplomacy or formalize peace terms.

No Ukraine peace referendum has been officially scheduled, as peace negotiations between Kyiv and Moscow remain stalled despite intensified diplomatic signals following the US presidential election. President Zelenskyy has reiterated that constitutional requirements mandate a national referendum for any territorial concessions, but recent Russian advances in Donetsk oblast and Ukrainian operations in Kursk have entrenched the military stalemate without breakthroughs. President-elect Trump's pledge for a swift resolution prompted Putin to express openness to talks, yet Ukraine demands full troop withdrawal and security guarantees before considering referendums. Traders watch upcoming Trump-Zelenskyy meetings post-inauguration and NATO summits in early 2025 for potential catalysts to accelerate diplomacy or formalize peace terms.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No Ukraine peace referendum has been officially scheduled, as peace negotiations between Kyiv and Moscow remain stalled despite intensified diplomatic signals following the US presidential election. President Zelenskyy has reiterated that constitutional requirements mandate a national referendum for any territorial concessions, but recent Russian advances in Donetsk oblast and Ukrainian operations in Kursk have entrenched the military stalemate without breakthroughs. President-elect Trump's pledge for a swift resolution prompted Putin to express openness to talks, yet Ukraine demands full troop withdrawal and security guarantees before considering referendums. Traders watch upcoming Trump-Zelenskyy meetings post-inauguration and NATO summits in early 2025 for potential catalysts to accelerate diplomacy or formalize peace terms.

No Ukraine peace referendum has been officially scheduled, as peace negotiations between Kyiv and Moscow remain stalled despite intensified diplomatic signals following the US presidential election. President Zelenskyy has reiterated that constitutional requirements mandate a national referendum for any territorial concessions, but recent Russian advances in Donetsk oblast and Ukrainian operations in Kursk have entrenched the military stalemate without breakthroughs. President-elect Trump's pledge for a swift resolution prompted Putin to express openness to talks, yet Ukraine demands full troop withdrawal and security guarantees before considering referendums. Traders watch upcoming Trump-Zelenskyy meetings post-inauguration and NATO summits in early 2025 for potential catalysts to accelerate diplomacy or formalize peace terms.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania programado por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio" con 11%, seguido de "31 de marzo" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 11¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania programado por...?" ha generado $221.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 26, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania programado por...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania programado por...?" es "30 de junio" con 11%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de marzo" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania programado por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.