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Gustavo Petro sale como líder de Colombia por…?

Market icon

Gustavo Petro sale como líder de Colombia por…?

$151,934 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$151,934 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

30 de junio

$120,857 Vol.

2%

Market icon

31 de diciembre

$31,097 Vol.

95%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Colombian President Gustavo Petro maintains a stable hold on power amid his constitutionally limited four-year term ending August 7, 2026, with no active impeachment proceedings or resignation announcements in the past 30 days. His Pacto Histórico coalition emerged as the largest force in Congress following March 9 legislative elections, though lacking a majority requires coalition-building for reforms. Petro's approval rating reached its highest since 2024 as of March 26, enhancing leftist momentum ahead of the May 31 presidential election and potential successor transition. A U.S. probe into alleged drug ties, launched March 20, introduces uncertainty but faces low immediate action prospects per trader consensus in related markets. Key watchpoints include congressional negotiations and election outcomes that could influence removal pressures.

Colombian President Gustavo Petro maintains a stable hold on power amid his constitutionally limited four-year term ending August 7, 2026, with no active impeachment proceedings or resignation announcements in the past 30 days. His Pacto Histórico coalition emerged as the largest force in Congress following March 9 legislative elections, though lacking a majority requires coalition-building for reforms. Petro's approval rating reached its highest since 2024 as of March 26, enhancing leftist momentum ahead of the May 31 presidential election and potential successor transition. A U.S. probe into alleged drug ties, launched March 20, introduces uncertainty but faces low immediate action prospects per trader consensus in related markets. Key watchpoints include congressional negotiations and election outcomes that could influence removal pressures.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Colombian President Gustavo Petro maintains a stable hold on power amid his constitutionally limited four-year term ending August 7, 2026, with no active impeachment proceedings or resignation announcements in the past 30 days. His Pacto Histórico coalition emerged as the largest force in Congress following March 9 legislative elections, though lacking a majority requires coalition-building for reforms. Petro's approval rating reached its highest since 2024 as of March 26, enhancing leftist momentum ahead of the May 31 presidential election and potential successor transition. A U.S. probe into alleged drug ties, launched March 20, introduces uncertainty but faces low immediate action prospects per trader consensus in related markets. Key watchpoints include congressional negotiations and election outcomes that could influence removal pressures.

Colombian President Gustavo Petro maintains a stable hold on power amid his constitutionally limited four-year term ending August 7, 2026, with no active impeachment proceedings or resignation announcements in the past 30 days. His Pacto Histórico coalition emerged as the largest force in Congress following March 9 legislative elections, though lacking a majority requires coalition-building for reforms. Petro's approval rating reached its highest since 2024 as of March 26, enhancing leftist momentum ahead of the May 31 presidential election and potential successor transition. A U.S. probe into alleged drug ties, launched March 20, introduces uncertainty but faces low immediate action prospects per trader consensus in related markets. Key watchpoints include congressional negotiations and election outcomes that could influence removal pressures.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Gustavo Petro sale como líder de Colombia por…?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 95%, seguido de "30 de junio" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Gustavo Petro sale como líder de Colombia por…?" ha generado $151.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 4, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Gustavo Petro sale como líder de Colombia por…?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Gustavo Petro sale como líder de Colombia por…?" es "31 de diciembre" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Gustavo Petro sale como líder de Colombia por…?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.