Recent assembly election victories for the BJP-led NDA coalition in states including Assam and West Bengal have bolstered Prime Minister Narendra Modi's political stability, pushing trader consensus to 90.1% against his exit by December 31, 2026. Despite a parliamentary defeat of a constitutional amendment bill in late April and economic strains like the rupee's record low, the coalition government shows no signs of collapse, with no no-confidence motions or snap election triggers amid the 2029 Lok Sabha timeline. Opposition rhetoric from figures like Arvind Kejriwal has failed to materialize into action, while Modi's NDA maintains Lok Sabha majority through allies. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or coalition fractures could shift odds, though none appear imminent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
Sí
$27,305 Vol.
$27,305 Vol.
Sí
$27,305 Vol.
$27,305 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent assembly election victories for the BJP-led NDA coalition in states including Assam and West Bengal have bolstered Prime Minister Narendra Modi's political stability, pushing trader consensus to 90.1% against his exit by December 31, 2026. Despite a parliamentary defeat of a constitutional amendment bill in late April and economic strains like the rupee's record low, the coalition government shows no signs of collapse, with no no-confidence motions or snap election triggers amid the 2029 Lok Sabha timeline. Opposition rhetoric from figures like Arvind Kejriwal has failed to materialize into action, while Modi's NDA maintains Lok Sabha majority through allies. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or coalition fractures could shift odds, though none appear imminent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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