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Política·India-Pakistán

¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?

Market icon
Política·India-Pakistán

¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Sí

10% chance
Polymarket

$16,951 Vol.

Sí

10% chance
Polymarket

$16,951 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's third Lok Sabha term, underway since June 2024 and extending to 2029, underpins the strong trader consensus against his exit by December 31, 2026, with NDA coalition partners showing no signs of defection amid recent BJP assembly election wins in Haryana and solid Jammu & Kashmir results. The past month's Union Budget passage, focusing on economic reforms, and diplomatic engagements like the Quad summit have reinforced government stability, absent major scandals, opposition surges, or no-confidence threats. While upcoming Maharashtra and Delhi state polls could influence dynamics, historical patterns of Modi's incumbency and lack of snap election precedents keep early departure odds low.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi's third Lok Sabha term, underway since June 2024 and extending to 2029, underpins the strong trader consensus against his exit by December 31, 2026, with NDA coalition partners showing no signs of defection amid recent BJP assembly election wins in Haryana and solid Jammu & Kashmir results. The past month's Union Budget passage, focusing on economic reforms, and diplomatic engagements like the Quad summit have reinforced government stability, absent major scandals, opposition surges, or no-confidence threats. While upcoming Maharashtra and Delhi state polls could influence dynamics, historical patterns of Modi's incumbency and lack of snap election precedents keep early departure odds low.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's third Lok Sabha term, underway since June 2024 and extending to 2029, underpins the strong trader consensus against his exit by December 31, 2026, with NDA coalition partners showing no signs of defection amid recent BJP assembly election wins in Haryana and solid Jammu & Kashmir results. The past month's Union Budget passage, focusing on economic reforms, and diplomatic engagements like the Quad summit have reinforced government stability, absent major scandals, opposition surges, or no-confidence threats. While upcoming Maharashtra and Delhi state polls could influence dynamics, historical patterns of Modi's incumbency and lack of snap election precedents keep early departure odds low.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi's third Lok Sabha term, underway since June 2024 and extending to 2029, underpins the strong trader consensus against his exit by December 31, 2026, with NDA coalition partners showing no signs of defection amid recent BJP assembly election wins in Haryana and solid Jammu & Kashmir results. The past month's Union Budget passage, focusing on economic reforms, and diplomatic engagements like the Quad summit have reinforced government stability, absent major scandals, opposition surges, or no-confidence threats. While upcoming Maharashtra and Delhi state polls could influence dynamics, historical patterns of Modi's incumbency and lack of snap election precedents keep early departure odds low.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 10¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?" ha generado $17K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?" es "¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?" con 10%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.