Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's secure hold on power, following his June 2024 inauguration for a third term leading the NDA coalition with 293 Lok Sabha seats, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 90.1% for his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent parliamentary sessions, including the July 2024 Union Budget passage amid opposition protests on issues like Adani allegations and Manipur violence, have not destabilized the BJP-led government, with key allies TDP and JD(U) reaffirming support despite Bihar caste census tensions. No-confidence threats or snap election signals have emerged, and Modi's active diplomacy—including Ukraine and Austria visits—signals continuity. While coalition frictions or health events could shift odds, the full five-year term structure favors stability absent major crises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
Sí
$16,932 Vol.
$16,932 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Sí
$16,932 Vol.
$16,932 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's secure hold on power, following his June 2024 inauguration for a third term leading the NDA coalition with 293 Lok Sabha seats, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 90.1% for his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent parliamentary sessions, including the July 2024 Union Budget passage amid opposition protests on issues like Adani allegations and Manipur violence, have not destabilized the BJP-led government, with key allies TDP and JD(U) reaffirming support despite Bihar caste census tensions. No-confidence threats or snap election signals have emerged, and Modi's active diplomacy—including Ukraine and Austria visits—signals continuity. While coalition frictions or health events could shift odds, the full five-year term structure favors stability absent major crises.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$16,932Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's secure hold on power, following his June 2024 inauguration for a third term leading the NDA coalition with 293 Lok Sabha seats, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 90.1% for his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent parliamentary sessions, including the July 2024 Union Budget passage amid opposition protests on issues like Adani allegations and Manipur violence, have not destabilized the BJP-led government, with key allies TDP and JD(U) reaffirming support despite Bihar caste census tensions. No-confidence threats or snap election signals have emerged, and Modi's active diplomacy—including Ukraine and Austria visits—signals continuity. While coalition frictions or health events could shift odds, the full five-year term structure favors stability absent major crises.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$16,932Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's secure hold on power, following his June 2024 inauguration for a third term leading the NDA coalition with 293 Lok Sabha seats, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 90.1% for his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent parliamentary sessions, including the July 2024 Union Budget passage amid opposition protests on issues like Adani allegations and Manipur violence, have not destabilized the BJP-led government, with key allies TDP and JD(U) reaffirming support despite Bihar caste census tensions. No-confidence threats or snap election signals have emerged, and Modi's active diplomacy—including Ukraine and Austria visits—signals continuity. While coalition frictions or health events could shift odds, the full five-year term structure favors stability absent major crises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes