Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% chance that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, reflecting skepticism amid stalled diplomatic momentum despite U.S. President Trump's recent public pushes for expansion. In speeches last week, Trump urged Saudi Arabia—long the prime candidate—to normalize relations with Israel, hailing ties with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, while congressional bills like the Abraham Accords Defense Cooperation Act aim to incentivize additional Arab states through military partnerships. However, Riyadh has made no reciprocal commitments, historically linking accession to progress on Palestinian statehood, and ongoing regional tensions with Iran have reinforced existing accords without prompting fresh signatories since Kazakhstan's entry late last year. No summits or negotiations are scheduled to shift this dynamic before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNUEVO
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30 jun 2026
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30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% chance that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, reflecting skepticism amid stalled diplomatic momentum despite U.S. President Trump's recent public pushes for expansion. In speeches last week, Trump urged Saudi Arabia—long the prime candidate—to normalize relations with Israel, hailing ties with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, while congressional bills like the Abraham Accords Defense Cooperation Act aim to incentivize additional Arab states through military partnerships. However, Riyadh has made no reciprocal commitments, historically linking accession to progress on Palestinian statehood, and ongoing regional tensions with Iran have reinforced existing accords without prompting fresh signatories since Kazakhstan's entry late last year. No summits or negotiations are scheduled to shift this dynamic before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$138Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% chance that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, reflecting skepticism amid stalled diplomatic momentum despite U.S. President Trump's recent public pushes for expansion. In speeches last week, Trump urged Saudi Arabia—long the prime candidate—to normalize relations with Israel, hailing ties with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, while congressional bills like the Abraham Accords Defense Cooperation Act aim to incentivize additional Arab states through military partnerships. However, Riyadh has made no reciprocal commitments, historically linking accession to progress on Palestinian statehood, and ongoing regional tensions with Iran have reinforced existing accords without prompting fresh signatories since Kazakhstan's entry late last year. No summits or negotiations are scheduled to shift this dynamic before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$138Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% chance that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, reflecting skepticism amid stalled diplomatic momentum despite U.S. President Trump's recent public pushes for expansion. In speeches last week, Trump urged Saudi Arabia—long the prime candidate—to normalize relations with Israel, hailing ties with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, while congressional bills like the Abraham Accords Defense Cooperation Act aim to incentivize additional Arab states through military partnerships. However, Riyadh has made no reciprocal commitments, historically linking accession to progress on Palestinian statehood, and ongoing regional tensions with Iran have reinforced existing accords without prompting fresh signatories since Kazakhstan's entry late last year. No summits or negotiations are scheduled to shift this dynamic before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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