Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a durable edge in voting intentions, particularly among francophone voters who form the largest electoral bloc, which underpins its position as the frontrunner in seat projections ahead of the October 5, 2026, vote. The Parti Libéral du Québec remains competitive overall but trails significantly in that key demographic, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has registered modest gains since Christine Fréchette's April leadership victory and swearing-in as premier. High numbers of undecided voters and the fragmented field continue to shape trader assessments of likely outcomes, with minor parties registering negligible support in surveys.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
Ganador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
PQ 60%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 16%
PCQ <1%
$578,173 Vol.
$578,173 Vol.
5 oct 2026
PQ
60%
PLQ
25%
CAQ
16%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 60%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 16%
PCQ <1%
$578,173 Vol.
$578,173 Vol.
5 oct 2026
PQ
$59,990 Vol.
60%
PLQ
$62,412 Vol.
25%
CAQ
$71,479 Vol.
16%
PCQ
$174,792 Vol.
<1%
QS
$76,309 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$133,191 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a durable edge in voting intentions, particularly among francophone voters who form the largest electoral bloc, which underpins its position as the frontrunner in seat projections ahead of the October 5, 2026, vote. The Parti Libéral du Québec remains competitive overall but trails significantly in that key demographic, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has registered modest gains since Christine Fréchette's April leadership victory and swearing-in as premier. High numbers of undecided voters and the fragmented field continue to shape trader assessments of likely outcomes, with minor parties registering negligible support in surveys.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volumen
$578,173Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a durable edge in voting intentions, particularly among francophone voters who form the largest electoral bloc, which underpins its position as the frontrunner in seat projections ahead of the October 5, 2026, vote. The Parti Libéral du Québec remains competitive overall but trails significantly in that key demographic, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has registered modest gains since Christine Fréchette's April leadership victory and swearing-in as premier. High numbers of undecided voters and the fragmented field continue to shape trader assessments of likely outcomes, with minor parties registering negligible support in surveys.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$578,173Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a durable edge in voting intentions, particularly among francophone voters who form the largest electoral bloc, which underpins its position as the frontrunner in seat projections ahead of the October 5, 2026, vote. The Parti Libéral du Québec remains competitive overall but trails significantly in that key demographic, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has registered modest gains since Christine Fréchette's April leadership victory and swearing-in as premier. High numbers of undecided voters and the fragmented field continue to shape trader assessments of likely outcomes, with minor parties registering negligible support in surveys.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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