Trader consensus prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) as the clear frontrunner at 63% to win Quebec's next general election, propelled by consistent polling leads in surveys over the past month showing PQ support at 35–40% amid eroding backing for the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), now at 10.5%. Recent CAQ setbacks trace to Premier François Legault's late-September announcement slashing economic immigration targets by half, sparking backlash over housing shortages and healthcare strains, alongside dipping approval ratings below 30%. The Québec Liberal Party (PLQ) holds steady second at 25.5%, drawing anglophone and urban votes under interim leader Marc Tanguay, while Conservative (PCQ), Green (PVQ), and Québec solidaire (QS) remain marginal. The election must occur by October 5, 2026, with no snap call signaled, leaving room for policy shifts or byelection results to sway dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
Ganador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
PQ 63%
PLQ 26%
CAQ 11%
PCQ <1%
$248,629 Vol.
$248,629 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
63%
PLQ
26%
CAQ
11%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 63%
PLQ 26%
CAQ 11%
PCQ <1%
$248,629 Vol.
$248,629 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$33,393 Vol.
63%
PLQ
$31,443 Vol.
26%
CAQ
$29,623 Vol.
11%
PCQ
$113,560 Vol.
1%
PVQ
$0 Vol.
<1%
QS
$40,609 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) as the clear frontrunner at 63% to win Quebec's next general election, propelled by consistent polling leads in surveys over the past month showing PQ support at 35–40% amid eroding backing for the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), now at 10.5%. Recent CAQ setbacks trace to Premier François Legault's late-September announcement slashing economic immigration targets by half, sparking backlash over housing shortages and healthcare strains, alongside dipping approval ratings below 30%. The Québec Liberal Party (PLQ) holds steady second at 25.5%, drawing anglophone and urban votes under interim leader Marc Tanguay, while Conservative (PCQ), Green (PVQ), and Québec solidaire (QS) remain marginal. The election must occur by October 5, 2026, with no snap call signaled, leaving room for policy shifts or byelection results to sway dynamics.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volumen
$248,629Fecha de finalización
Oct 5, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) as the clear frontrunner at 63% to win Quebec's next general election, propelled by consistent polling leads in surveys over the past month showing PQ support at 35–40% amid eroding backing for the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), now at 10.5%. Recent CAQ setbacks trace to Premier François Legault's late-September announcement slashing economic immigration targets by half, sparking backlash over housing shortages and healthcare strains, alongside dipping approval ratings below 30%. The Québec Liberal Party (PLQ) holds steady second at 25.5%, drawing anglophone and urban votes under interim leader Marc Tanguay, while Conservative (PCQ), Green (PVQ), and Québec solidaire (QS) remain marginal. The election must occur by October 5, 2026, with no snap call signaled, leaving room for policy shifts or byelection results to sway dynamics.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$248,629Fecha de finalización
Oct 5, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) as the clear frontrunner at 63% to win Quebec's next general election, propelled by consistent polling leads in surveys over the past month showing PQ support at 35–40% amid eroding backing for the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), now at 10.5%. Recent CAQ setbacks trace to Premier François Legault's late-September announcement slashing economic immigration targets by half, sparking backlash over housing shortages and healthcare strains, alongside dipping approval ratings below 30%. The Québec Liberal Party (PLQ) holds steady second at 25.5%, drawing anglophone and urban votes under interim leader Marc Tanguay, while Conservative (PCQ), Green (PVQ), and Québec solidaire (QS) remain marginal. The election must occur by October 5, 2026, with no snap call signaled, leaving room for policy shifts or byelection results to sway dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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