**Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 78.5%, driven by the National Electoral Commission's February 2026 announcement postponing polls from May 2026 to March 2027 amid security threats in eastern regions like Sool and drought impacts hindering voter registration and logistics.** This aligns with Somaliland's history of repeated delays in parliamentary votes, last held in 2005, despite recent presidential success in 2024. Waddani leads party odds at 12% on momentum from President Abdirahman Irro's victory, positioning it as frontrunner if elections occur, while former ruling Kulmiye (5.4%) and UCID (4.0%) lag. NEC's advanced BRIDGE training on dispute resolution last week signals preparations but reinforces the 2027 timeline, with no catalysts for advancement amid ongoing clan tensions and resource strains.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Somalilandia
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Somalilandia
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027 79%
Waddani 12%
Kulmiye 6.5%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID) 3.9%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027
79%
Waddani
12%
Kulmiye
6%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID)
4%
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027 79%
Waddani 12%
Kulmiye 6.5%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID) 3.9%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027
$3,008 Vol.
79%
Waddani
$1,463 Vol.
12%
Kulmiye
$1,263 Vol.
6%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID)
$2,966 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).**Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 78.5%, driven by the National Electoral Commission's February 2026 announcement postponing polls from May 2026 to March 2027 amid security threats in eastern regions like Sool and drought impacts hindering voter registration and logistics.** This aligns with Somaliland's history of repeated delays in parliamentary votes, last held in 2005, despite recent presidential success in 2024. Waddani leads party odds at 12% on momentum from President Abdirahman Irro's victory, positioning it as frontrunner if elections occur, while former ruling Kulmiye (5.4%) and UCID (4.0%) lag. NEC's advanced BRIDGE training on dispute resolution last week signals preparations but reinforces the 2027 timeline, with no catalysts for advancement amid ongoing clan tensions and resource strains.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volumen
$8,699Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).**Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 78.5%, driven by the National Electoral Commission's February 2026 announcement postponing polls from May 2026 to March 2027 amid security threats in eastern regions like Sool and drought impacts hindering voter registration and logistics.** This aligns with Somaliland's history of repeated delays in parliamentary votes, last held in 2005, despite recent presidential success in 2024. Waddani leads party odds at 12% on momentum from President Abdirahman Irro's victory, positioning it as frontrunner if elections occur, while former ruling Kulmiye (5.4%) and UCID (4.0%) lag. NEC's advanced BRIDGE training on dispute resolution last week signals preparations but reinforces the 2027 timeline, with no catalysts for advancement amid ongoing clan tensions and resource strains.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volumen
$8,699Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 78.5%, driven by the National Electoral Commission's February 2026 announcement postponing polls from May 2026 to March 2027 amid security threats in eastern regions like Sool and drought impacts hindering voter registration and logistics.** This aligns with Somaliland's history of repeated delays in parliamentary votes, last held in 2005, despite recent presidential success in 2024. Waddani leads party odds at 12% on momentum from President Abdirahman Irro's victory, positioning it as frontrunner if elections occur, while former ruling Kulmiye (5.4%) and UCID (4.0%) lag. NEC's advanced BRIDGE training on dispute resolution last week signals preparations but reinforces the 2027 timeline, with no catalysts for advancement amid ongoing clan tensions and resource strains.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes