Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 70%, reflecting two decades of delays since the last vote in 2005 amid unresolved disputes over biometric voter registration, clan representation quotas, and funding shortages. The recent November 13, 2024, presidential election—won by incumbent Muse Bihi Abdi of Kulmiye with 54.8% despite Waddani and UCID challenges rejected by the constitutional court—has yet to yield a firm parliamentary timeline, reinforcing postponement expectations. Waddani's strong 39.6% presidential showing positions it as the leading party contender at 12.5%, ahead of ruling Kulmiye (6.4%) and UCID (4%), with traders eyeing potential momentum but skeptical of near-term polls absent Electoral Commission announcements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Somalilandia
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Somalilandia
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027 78%
Waddani 13%
Kulmiye 4.9%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID) 3.9%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027
72%
Waddani
13%
Kulmiye
5%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID)
4%
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027 78%
Waddani 13%
Kulmiye 4.9%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID) 3.9%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027
$2,981 Vol.
72%
Waddani
$1,458 Vol.
13%
Kulmiye
$1,263 Vol.
5%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID)
$2,966 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 70%, reflecting two decades of delays since the last vote in 2005 amid unresolved disputes over biometric voter registration, clan representation quotas, and funding shortages. The recent November 13, 2024, presidential election—won by incumbent Muse Bihi Abdi of Kulmiye with 54.8% despite Waddani and UCID challenges rejected by the constitutional court—has yet to yield a firm parliamentary timeline, reinforcing postponement expectations. Waddani's strong 39.6% presidential showing positions it as the leading party contender at 12.5%, ahead of ruling Kulmiye (6.4%) and UCID (4%), with traders eyeing potential momentum but skeptical of near-term polls absent Electoral Commission announcements.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volumen
$8,668Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 70%, reflecting two decades of delays since the last vote in 2005 amid unresolved disputes over biometric voter registration, clan representation quotas, and funding shortages. The recent November 13, 2024, presidential election—won by incumbent Muse Bihi Abdi of Kulmiye with 54.8% despite Waddani and UCID challenges rejected by the constitutional court—has yet to yield a firm parliamentary timeline, reinforcing postponement expectations. Waddani's strong 39.6% presidential showing positions it as the leading party contender at 12.5%, ahead of ruling Kulmiye (6.4%) and UCID (4%), with traders eyeing potential momentum but skeptical of near-term polls absent Electoral Commission announcements.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volumen
$8,668Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 70%, reflecting two decades of delays since the last vote in 2005 amid unresolved disputes over biometric voter registration, clan representation quotas, and funding shortages. The recent November 13, 2024, presidential election—won by incumbent Muse Bihi Abdi of Kulmiye with 54.8% despite Waddani and UCID challenges rejected by the constitutional court—has yet to yield a firm parliamentary timeline, reinforcing postponement expectations. Waddani's strong 39.6% presidential showing positions it as the leading party contender at 12.5%, ahead of ruling Kulmiye (6.4%) and UCID (4%), with traders eyeing potential momentum but skeptical of near-term polls absent Electoral Commission announcements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes