Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) as the largest party in the September 13 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by consistent opinion polls showing S at 31-33%—a double-digit lead over Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%. Late March surveys from Ipsos, Demoskop, Novus, and Kantar-Sifo confirm unusually stable voter intentions, with minimal shifts despite the Liberal Party's March 13 pact with SD to bolster right-wing coalition prospects ahead of Riksdag seat allocation and government formation. Absent scandals, economic shocks, or late campaign surges, traders price S's path to plurality at 88.5%, while SD and M trail due to persistent polling gaps. Key upcoming events include policy debates and potential no-confidence maneuvers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia
Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S) 89%
Demócratas de Suecia (SD) 5.3%
Partido Moderado (M) 4.6%
Partido Verde (MP) <1%
$1,042,727 Vol.
$1,042,727 Vol.
13 sep 2026
Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)
89%
Demócratas de Suecia (SD)
5%
Partido Moderado (M)
5%
Partido Verde (MP)
<1%
Partido de la Izquierda (V)
<1%
Coalición de Ciudadanos (MED)
<1%
Partido del Centro (C)
<1%
Liberales (L)
<1%
Demócratas Cristianos (KD)
<1%
Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S) 89%
Demócratas de Suecia (SD) 5.3%
Partido Moderado (M) 4.6%
Partido Verde (MP) <1%
$1,042,727 Vol.
$1,042,727 Vol.
13 sep 2026
Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)
$26,102 Vol.
89%
Demócratas de Suecia (SD)
$501,557 Vol.
5%
Partido Moderado (M)
$373,423 Vol.
5%
Partido Verde (MP)
$86,730 Vol.
<1%
Partido de la Izquierda (V)
$10,102 Vol.
<1%
Coalición de Ciudadanos (MED)
$10,400 Vol.
<1%
Partido del Centro (C)
$11,111 Vol.
<1%
Liberales (L)
$10,708 Vol.
<1%
Demócratas Cristianos (KD)
$12,594 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) as the largest party in the September 13 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by consistent opinion polls showing S at 31-33%—a double-digit lead over Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%. Late March surveys from Ipsos, Demoskop, Novus, and Kantar-Sifo confirm unusually stable voter intentions, with minimal shifts despite the Liberal Party's March 13 pact with SD to bolster right-wing coalition prospects ahead of Riksdag seat allocation and government formation. Absent scandals, economic shocks, or late campaign surges, traders price S's path to plurality at 88.5%, while SD and M trail due to persistent polling gaps. Key upcoming events include policy debates and potential no-confidence maneuvers.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Volumen
$1,042,727Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) as the largest party in the September 13 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by consistent opinion polls showing S at 31-33%—a double-digit lead over Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%. Late March surveys from Ipsos, Demoskop, Novus, and Kantar-Sifo confirm unusually stable voter intentions, with minimal shifts despite the Liberal Party's March 13 pact with SD to bolster right-wing coalition prospects ahead of Riksdag seat allocation and government formation. Absent scandals, economic shocks, or late campaign surges, traders price S's path to plurality at 88.5%, while SD and M trail due to persistent polling gaps. Key upcoming events include policy debates and potential no-confidence maneuvers.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$1,042,727Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) as the largest party in the September 13 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by consistent opinion polls showing S at 31-33%—a double-digit lead over Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%. Late March surveys from Ipsos, Demoskop, Novus, and Kantar-Sifo confirm unusually stable voter intentions, with minimal shifts despite the Liberal Party's March 13 pact with SD to bolster right-wing coalition prospects ahead of Riksdag seat allocation and government formation. Absent scandals, economic shocks, or late campaign surges, traders price S's path to plurality at 88.5%, while SD and M trail due to persistent polling gaps. Key upcoming events include policy debates and potential no-confidence maneuvers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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