Trader consensus positions Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) as the frontrunner in Bolivia's 2026 gubernatorial elections, reflecting widespread anti-incumbent sentiment fueled by the Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)'s deepening internal schism between President Luis Arce and Evo Morales factions. Recent escalations, including Morales-led parallel primaries in September 2024 and mutual expulsion attempts, have fragmented MAS support, dropping its viability to under 7%. Regional dynamics bolster challengers: Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate surges in Santa Cruz on autonomy demands, while Christian Democratic Party (PDC) and Popular Alliance (AP) draw strength in highland departments amid economic woes like inflation and fuel shortages. Unity Bloc trails as a smaller coalition. Party conventions and candidate slates through early 2025 will test these alignments in Bolivia's nine governorship races.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado2026 Elecciones para gobernador de Bolivia: Ganador del partido
2026 Elecciones para gobernador de Bolivia: Ganador del partido
Bloque Unidad (UNIDAD) 11%
Alianza Popular (AP) 9%
Partido Demócrata Cristiano (PDC) 9%
Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS-IPSP) 8.0%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
Bloque Unidad (UNIDAD)
11%
Alianza Popular (AP)
22%
Partido Demócrata Cristiano (PDC)
22%
Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS-IPSP)
7%
Autonomía para Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
21%
Libre – Libertad y Democracia (LIBRE)
49%
Bloque Unidad (UNIDAD) 11%
Alianza Popular (AP) 9%
Partido Demócrata Cristiano (PDC) 9%
Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS-IPSP) 8.0%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
Bloque Unidad (UNIDAD)
$0 Vol.
11%
Alianza Popular (AP)
$0 Vol.
22%
Partido Demócrata Cristiano (PDC)
$0 Vol.
22%
Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS-IPSP)
$0 Vol.
7%
Autonomía para Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
$0 Vol.
21%
Libre – Libertad y Democracia (LIBRE)
$0 Vol.
49%
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus positions Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) as the frontrunner in Bolivia's 2026 gubernatorial elections, reflecting widespread anti-incumbent sentiment fueled by the Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)'s deepening internal schism between President Luis Arce and Evo Morales factions. Recent escalations, including Morales-led parallel primaries in September 2024 and mutual expulsion attempts, have fragmented MAS support, dropping its viability to under 7%. Regional dynamics bolster challengers: Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate surges in Santa Cruz on autonomy demands, while Christian Democratic Party (PDC) and Popular Alliance (AP) draw strength in highland departments amid economic woes like inflation and fuel shortages. Unity Bloc trails as a smaller coalition. Party conventions and candidate slates through early 2025 will test these alignments in Bolivia's nine governorship races.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 22, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus positions Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) as the frontrunner in Bolivia's 2026 gubernatorial elections, reflecting widespread anti-incumbent sentiment fueled by the Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)'s deepening internal schism between President Luis Arce and Evo Morales factions. Recent escalations, including Morales-led parallel primaries in September 2024 and mutual expulsion attempts, have fragmented MAS support, dropping its viability to under 7%. Regional dynamics bolster challengers: Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate surges in Santa Cruz on autonomy demands, while Christian Democratic Party (PDC) and Popular Alliance (AP) draw strength in highland departments amid economic woes like inflation and fuel shortages. Unity Bloc trails as a smaller coalition. Party conventions and candidate slates through early 2025 will test these alignments in Bolivia's nine governorship races.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 22, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) as the frontrunner in Bolivia's 2026 gubernatorial elections, reflecting widespread anti-incumbent sentiment fueled by the Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)'s deepening internal schism between President Luis Arce and Evo Morales factions. Recent escalations, including Morales-led parallel primaries in September 2024 and mutual expulsion attempts, have fragmented MAS support, dropping its viability to under 7%. Regional dynamics bolster challengers: Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate surges in Santa Cruz on autonomy demands, while Christian Democratic Party (PDC) and Popular Alliance (AP) draw strength in highland departments amid economic woes like inflation and fuel shortages. Unity Bloc trails as a smaller coalition. Party conventions and candidate slates through early 2025 will test these alignments in Bolivia's nine governorship races.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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