Market icon
Mundo·Automatización De Recompensas 50 4.5 50

¿Número de pasajeros de la TSA el 4 de abril?

Market icon
Mundo·Automatización De Recompensas 50 4.5 50

¿Número de pasajeros de la TSA el 4 de abril?

abr 2

abr 3

abr 4

abr 2

abr 3

abr 4

3.0M-3.2M 41%

3.2M-3.4M 7%

3.4M-3.6M <1%

3.6M-3.8M <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

3.0M-3.2M 41%

3.2M-3.4M 7%

3.4M-3.6M <1%

3.6M-3.8M <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<3.0M

$282 Vol.

73%

3.0M-3.2M

$0 Vol.

41%

3.2M-3.4M

$1,055 Vol.

7%

3.4M-3.6M

$1,130 Vol.

1%

3.6M-3.8M

$1,075 Vol.

1%

>3,8M

$1,053 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the <3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers outcome at 69.5% implied probability for April 4, driven by persistent staffing shortages from the ongoing DHS government shutdown, with national call-out rates exceeding 10% and up to 40% at major hubs like ATL and IAH. Recent throughput data underscores capacity constraints: April 1 screened 2.36 million, March 31 at 2.15 million, and a seven-day average through April 1 of 2.52 million—well below historical spring peaks despite record demand projections of 171 million passengers March-April (+4% year-over-year). The 3.0M-3.2M bin at 40.5% reflects upside risk from Easter weekend travel (April 5 holiday), but operational limits dominate sentiment ahead of tomorrow's data release.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$4,596
Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the <3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers outcome at 69.5% implied probability for April 4, driven by persistent staffing shortages from the ongoing DHS government shutdown, with national call-out rates exceeding 10% and up to 40% at major hubs like ATL and IAH. Recent throughput data underscores capacity constraints: April 1 screened 2.36 million, March 31 at 2.15 million, and a seven-day average through April 1 of 2.52 million—well below historical spring peaks despite record demand projections of 171 million passengers March-April (+4% year-over-year). The 3.0M-3.2M bin at 40.5% reflects upside risk from Easter weekend travel (April 5 holiday), but operational limits dominate sentiment ahead of tomorrow's data release.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$4,596
Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Número de pasajeros de la TSA el 4 de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<3.0M" con 73%, seguido de "3.0M-3.2M" con 41%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 73¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 73% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Número de pasajeros de la TSA el 4 de abril?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 2, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Número de pasajeros de la TSA el 4 de abril?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Número de pasajeros de la TSA el 4 de abril?" es "<3.0M" con 73%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 73% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "3.0M-3.2M" con 41%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Número de pasajeros de la TSA el 4 de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.