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Traffic predictions & odds

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Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

97%

0-10

$600K Vol.

$375K today

$105K Liq.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

55%

September 30

$2M Vol.

$50.0K today

$54.1K Liq.

91

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

42%

0-10

$10.3K Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

3%

$8M Vol.

$796K today

$568K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

17%

$7M Vol.

$684K today

$738K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

44%

$2M Vol.

$477K today

$541K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$37M Vol.

$200K today

$518K Liq.

3

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

63%

June 30

$13M Vol.

$807K today

$365K Liq.

303

Ends in about 2 months

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

100%

Nothing

$109K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

2%

$1M Vol.

$50.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

24%

June 30

$457K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

46

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

2%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$44.5K Liq.

1,031

Ends in about 2 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

80%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$132K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

10

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

47%

December 31, 2027

$473K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

33

Number of TSA passengers May 4 - May 10?

Number of TSA passengers May 4 - May 10?

48%

17.5-18m

$102 Vol.

$465 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Number of TSA passengers January 2?

Number of TSA passengers January 2?

2.5-2.75m

$15.5K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

1%

40+

$3M Vol.

$1M today

$270K Liq.

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

66%

20+

$212K Vol.

$97.7K today

$32.2K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Uber # of trips above __ in Q1?

Uber # of trips above __ in Q1?

99%

3.2B

$24.3K Vol.

$27.4K Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Traffic.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Traffic that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $82.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Traffic predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.