Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

20%

April 30

$414K Vol.

$110K Liq.

41

Ends in 29 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

99%

0-10

$2M Vol.

$45.2K Liq.

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

96%

0-10

$354K Vol.

$65.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

25%

60+

$20.8K Vol.

$53.3K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

23%

$2M Vol.

$311K today

$128K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

37%

$1.7K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

6%

$960K Vol.

$89.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

15%

April 30

$106K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

28

Ends in 29 days

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

12%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$35.1K Liq.

666

Ends in 3 months

US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?

US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?

1%

$19.3K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

2

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

51%

Up

$0 Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

51%

Up

$12 Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

51%

Up

$21 Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

51%

Up

$4 Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

50%

Up

$2 Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

51%

Up

$0 Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

51%

Up

$5 Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

51%

Up

$0 Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends in about 14 hours

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

51%

Up

$18 Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Traffic.

Polymarket currently hosts 114 active markets for Traffic that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Epstein client list released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Epstein client list released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 12% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Traffic predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.