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Mexico predictions & odds

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Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

34%

June 30

$141K Vol.

$82.9K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

95%

Decrease

$236K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

21%

$366K Vol.

$28.7K Liq.

134

Ends in 25 days

Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 6?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 6?

36%

31°C

$22.2K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 7?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 7?

93%

28°C or higher

$8.0K Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

18%

$10.1K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 25 days

Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 8?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 8?

77%

27°C or higher

$317 Vol.

$45.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

34%

4.50% to 4.99%

$41.2K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$190K Vol.

$49.8K Liq.

70

Ends in 8 months

 World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

3%

$130K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

93%

No change

$2.3K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?

Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?

26%

0.0-0.5%

$4 Vol.

$269 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

59%

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco

$82.3K Vol.

$707 Liq.

2

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Mexico.

Polymarket currently hosts 13 active markets for Mexico that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Bank of Mexico Decision in May,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 79% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Mexico predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.