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Earthquake predictions & odds

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Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

29%

$216K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Megaquake by June 30?

Megaquake by June 30?

14%

$64.3K Vol.

$983 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

37%

$327K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9%

$79.6K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

9

Ends in 11 months

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5%

$592K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

26

Ends in 8 months

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

11%

$182K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

65%

May 30

$20.4K Vol.

$769 Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

19%

$8.1K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

64%

0

$9.0K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

42%

≤8

$84.9K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

84%

8+

$2M Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

30

Ends in about 2 months

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

89%

>9

$84.3K Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

20

Ends in 3 days

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

68%

$545K Vol.

$43.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

30%

14–16

$1M Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC

40%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

$135 Vol.

$627K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes

56%

Seattle Sounders FC

$35 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Portland Timbers vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Portland Timbers vs. San Jose Earthquakes

47%

Portland Timbers

$5 Vol.

$927 Liq.

Ends in 17 days

San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas

San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas

36%

San Jose Earthquakes

$0 Vol.

$930 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

MLS Cup Winner 2026

MLS Cup Winner 2026

17%

Inter Miami CF

$17M Vol.

$50.6K today

$1M Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

16%

$134K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Earthquake.

Polymarket currently hosts 124 active markets for Earthquake that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $22.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MLS Cup Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MLS Cup Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 17% chance to Inter Miami CF. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Earthquake predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.