World predictions & odds

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Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$40M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

403

Ends in about 1 year

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

96%

December 31

$41M Vol.

$1M today

$928K Liq.

2,181

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

89%

Chong Won-oh

$22M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

33

Ends in about 2 months

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$89M Vol.

$977K today

$6M Liq.

2,080

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

40%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$50M Vol.

$717K today

$4M Liq.

4,337

Ends in 6 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

9%

$31M Vol.

$544K today

$737K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

30%

$10M Vol.

$543K today

$521K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

40%

Paloma Valencia

$20M Vol.

$416K today

$1M Liq.

375

Ends in 2 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

3%

$6M Vol.

$400K today

$338K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

9%

$20M Vol.

$290K today

$844K Liq.

71

Ends in 9 months

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

12%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$265K today

$518K Liq.

62

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

85%

June 30

$24M Vol.

$201K today

$535K Liq.

448

Ends in 15 days

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

20%

$15M Vol.

$186K today

$442K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
World·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

10%

Yulia Navalnaya

$14M Vol.

$185K today

$2M Liq.

155

Ends in 6 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

30%

$14M Vol.

$164K today

$455K Liq.

5,422

Ends in 9 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$117M Vol.

$147K today

$501K Liq.

33

Ends in 9 months

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

12%

December 31

$15M Vol.

$127K today

$390K Liq.

346

Ends in 3 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?
World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

90%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$113K today

$422K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

2%

$7M Vol.

$86.6K today

$207K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

59%

$418K Vol.

$75.8K today

$42.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like World.

Polymarket currently hosts 257 active markets for World that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next French Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $544.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on World predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.