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US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

February 17

1%

Yes1%No99%

February 18

1%

Yes1%No99%

February 17

1%

Yes1%No99%

February 18

1%

Yes1%No99%

$272M Vol.

Monthly
2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals card icon

2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals

Norway

99%

Yes99%No1%

United States

1%

Yes1%No99%

Norway

99%

Yes99%No1%

United States

1%

Yes1%No99%

$16M Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

February 15

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

February 16

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

February 15

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

February 16

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$30M Vol.

Monthly
Which coalition will form the next Dutch government? card icon

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

VVD + CDA + D66

99%

Yes99%No1%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

VVD + CDA + D66

99%

Yes99%No1%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$59M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Hungary card icon

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar

57%

Yes57%No43%

Viktor Orbán

40%

Yes40%No60%

Péter Magyar

57%

Yes57%No43%

Viktor Orbán

40%

Yes40%No60%

$16M Vol.

Monthly
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$4M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands card icon

Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands

Rob Jetten

100%

Yes100%No<1%

Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

Rob Jetten

100%

Yes100%No<1%

Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$17M Vol.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

16%

chance

Yes

No

$13M Vol.

Daily
2026 Winter Olympics: 2nd Most Gold Medals card icon

2026 Winter Olympics: 2nd Most Gold Medals

United States

65%

Yes65%No35%

Italy

25%

Yes25%No75%

United States

65%

Yes65%No35%

Italy

25%

Yes25%No75%

$1M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Nepal card icon

Next Prime Minister of Nepal

Balendra “Balen” Shah

68%

Yes68%No32%

KP Sharma Oli

11%

Yes11%No89%

Balendra “Balen” Shah

68%

Yes68%No32%

KP Sharma Oli

11%

Yes11%No89%

NEW

·

$242K Vol.

Next leader out of power before 2027? card icon

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Schoof - Netherlands PM

95%

Yes95%No5%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

1%

Yes1%No99%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

95%

Yes95%No5%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

1%

Yes1%No99%

$9M Vol.

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won card icon

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

PL

50%

Yes50%No50%

PT

24%

Yes24%No76%

PL

50%

Yes50%No50%

PT

24%

Yes24%No76%

$241K Vol.

Next French Presidential Election card icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella

29%

Yes29%No71%

Édouard Philippe

14%

Yes14%No86%

Jordan Bardella

29%

Yes29%No71%

Édouard Philippe

14%

Yes14%No86%

$8M Vol.

Starmer out by...? card icon

Starmer out by...?

February 28

3%

Yes3%No97%

March 31

16%

Yes16%No84%

February 28

3%

Yes3%No97%

March 31

16%

Yes16%No84%

$7M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$17M Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

Before March ET

16%

Yes16%No84%

March 1

1%

Yes1%No99%

Before March ET

16%

Yes16%No84%

March 1

1%

Yes1%No99%

$3M Vol.

Monthly
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