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World Events

AllGlobal ElectionsNepal ElectionChinaGazaIranUkraineVenezuelaIsraelMiddle EastUkraine MapIndia-PakistanCanadaSouth KoreaRomaniaYemen
US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

February 21

1%

Yes1%No99%

February 22

3%

Yes3%No97%

February 21

1%

Yes1%No99%

February 22

3%

Yes3%No97%

$339M Vol.

Monthly
Which coalition will form the next Dutch government? card icon

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

VVD + CDA + D66

100%

Yes100%No<1%

No Coalition by October 31

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

VVD + CDA + D66

100%

Yes100%No<1%

No Coalition by October 31

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$67M Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

February 22

2%

Yes2%No98%

February 23

2%

Yes2%No98%

February 22

2%

Yes2%No98%

February 23

2%

Yes2%No98%

$38M Vol.

Monthly
US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

Before March ET

18%

Yes18%No82%

March 1

4%

Yes4%No96%

Before March ET

18%

Yes18%No82%

March 1

4%

Yes4%No96%

$6M Vol.

Monthly
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$11M Vol.

Daily
Winter Games 2026: 2nd Most Gold Medals card icon

Winter Games 2026: 2nd Most Gold Medals

United States

99%

Yes99%No1%

Italy

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

United States

99%

Yes99%No1%

Italy

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$3M Vol.

Next leader out of power before 2027? card icon

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Schoof - Netherlands PM

96%

Yes96%No4%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

2%

Yes2%No98%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

96%

Yes96%No4%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

2%

Yes2%No98%

$10M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Hungary card icon

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar

60%

Yes60%No40%

Viktor Orbán

39%

Yes39%No61%

Péter Magyar

60%

Yes60%No40%

Viktor Orbán

39%

Yes39%No61%

$20M Vol.

Monthly
Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands card icon

Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands

Rob Jetten

100%

Yes100%No<1%

Dick Schoof

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

Rob Jetten

100%

Yes100%No<1%

Dick Schoof

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$21M Vol.

US/Israel strikes Iran by...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

February 28

19%

Yes19%No81%

March 31

61%

Yes61%No39%

February 28

19%

Yes19%No81%

March 31

61%

Yes61%No39%

$15M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$19M Vol.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

24%

chance

Yes

No

$15M Vol.

Daily
Winter Games 2026: Most Gold Medals card icon

Winter Games 2026: Most Gold Medals

Norway

100%

Yes100%No<1%

Canada

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

Norway

100%

Yes100%No<1%

Canada

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$17M Vol.

Will Trump visit China by...? card icon

Will Trump visit China by...?

March 31, 2026

84%

Yes84%No16%

April 30, 2026

96%

Yes96%No4%

March 31, 2026

84%

Yes84%No16%

April 30, 2026

96%

Yes96%No4%

$2M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election card icon

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

53%

Yes53%No47%

Flávio Bolsonaro

29%

Yes29%No71%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

53%

Yes53%No47%

Flávio Bolsonaro

29%

Yes29%No71%

$20M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election card icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella

31%

Yes31%No69%

Édouard Philippe

15%

Yes15%No85%

Jordan Bardella

31%

Yes31%No69%

Édouard Philippe

15%

Yes15%No85%

$9M Vol.

2026 Winter Games: 3rd Most Gold Medals card icon

2026 Winter Games: 3rd Most Gold Medals

Italy

92%

Yes92%No8%

Netherlands

4%

Yes4%No96%

Italy

92%

Yes92%No8%

Netherlands

4%

Yes4%No96%

$1M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$5M Vol.

Monthly
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$5M Vol.

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner card icon

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Chong Won-oh

78%

Yes78%No22%

Oh Se-hoon

17%

Yes17%No83%

Chong Won-oh

78%

Yes78%No22%

Oh Se-hoon

17%

Yes17%No83%

$2M Vol.

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