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US strikes Iran by...?
January 11
4%
January 12
8%
$6m Vol.
Portugal Presidential Election
António José Seguro (IND)
37%
Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
28%
$97m Vol.
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?
January 10
<1%
6%
$1m Vol.
Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?
January 16
January 31
15%
$4m Vol.
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM
51%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
25%
$812k Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$11m Vol.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
42%
$3m Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
14%
Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?
VVD + CDA + D66
96%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
1%
$26m Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
47%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
59%
$907k Vol.
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
March 31
$12m Vol.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
49%
$2m Vol.
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
75%
New People (NL)
10%
$543k Vol.
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
55%
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?
January 17
Bank of Japan decision in January?
Decrease rates
No change
98%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
35%
$938k Vol.
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
June 30, 2026
16%
December 31, 2026
23%
Another US strike on Venezuela on...?
January 8
January 9
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