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US strikes Iran by...?
January 23
3%
January 26
13%
$80m Vol.
US next strikes Iran on...?
January 21
<1%
January 22
$15m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
chance
Yes
No
$20m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
17%
$11m Vol.
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
53%
Flávio Bolsonaro
24%
$13m Vol.
Portugal Presidential Election
António José Seguro (IND)
97%
André Ventura (CH)
2%
$123m Vol.
Who will Trump shake hands with at Davos?
Aleksandar Vučić
Friedrich Merz
$679k Vol.
Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?
VVD + CDA + D66
92%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
$28m Vol.
Next Prime Minister of Vietnam
Lê Minh Hưng
98%
Lương Tam Quang
1%
NEW
$941k Vol.
Who will Trump meet with in January?
Keir Starmer
Giorgia Meloni
9%
$1m Vol.
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?
January 31
25%
February 15
45%
$5m Vol.
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?
$593k Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
44%
$7m Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
12%
Next Country US Strikes
Somalia
67%
Iran
22%
$2m Vol.
Japan General Election Winner?
LDP
94%
CRA
5%
$240k Vol.
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
34%
$539k Vol.
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
$4m Vol.
Costa Rica Presidential Election
Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado
91%
José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Péter Magyar
Viktor Orbán
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