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Global Elections Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

World Events

All Global Elections Portugal Election Japan Election Thailand Election China Gaza Iran Ukraine Venezuela Israel Middle East Ukraine Map India-Pakistan Canada South Korea Yemen Bolivia Election

World Events

All Global Elections Portugal Election Japan Election Thailand Election China Gaza Iran Ukraine Venezuela Israel Middle East Ukraine Map India-Pakistan Canada South Korea Yemen Bolivia Election

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

32%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

8%

Gavin Newsom

32%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

8%

$603m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

25%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

25%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$256m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

49%

Marco Rubio

12%

J.D. Vance

49%

Marco Rubio

12%

$249m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

99%

André Ventura (CH)

1%

António José Seguro (IND)

99%

André Ventura (CH)

1%

$130m Vol.

Thailand Legislative Election Winner card icon

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

People’s Party (PPLE)

69%

Bhumjaithai Party (BJT)

28%

People’s Party (PPLE)

69%

Bhumjaithai Party (BJT)

28%

$5m Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Hungary card icon

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar

56%

Viktor Orbán

42%

Péter Magyar

56%

Viktor Orbán

42%

$6m Vol.

Monthly

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election? card icon

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

Sanae Takaichi

99%

Shinjirō Koizumi

1%

Sanae Takaichi

99%

Shinjirō Koizumi

1%

$2m Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election card icon

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

52%

Flávio Bolsonaro

23%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

52%

Flávio Bolsonaro

23%

$16m Vol.

Paris Mayoral Election card icon

Paris Mayoral Election

Emmanuel Grégoire

70%

Rachida Dati

28%

Emmanuel Grégoire

70%

Rachida Dati

28%

$2m Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government? card icon

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

VVD + CDA + D66

98%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

<1%

VVD + CDA + D66

98%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

<1%

$32m Vol.

Japan General Election Winner? card icon

Japan General Election Winner?

LDP

100%

CRA

<1%

LDP

100%

CRA

<1%

$957k Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round card icon

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

Seguro 50%+

1%

Seguro 40-50%

23%

Seguro 50%+

1%

Seguro 40-50%

23%

$1m Vol.

Next French Presidential Election card icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella

32%

Édouard Philippe

14%

Jordan Bardella

32%

Édouard Philippe

14%

$5m Vol.

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? card icon

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)

70%

New People (NL)

24%

United Russia (ER)

70%

New People (NL)

24%

$2m Vol.

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner card icon

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanese Forces (LF)

63%

Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)

12%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

63%

Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)

12%

$146k Vol.

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner card icon

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

84%

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)

17%

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

84%

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)

17%

$647k Vol.

Colombia Senate Election Winner card icon

Colombia Senate Election Winner

Pacto Histórico (PH)

90%

Centro Democrático (CD)

6%

Pacto Histórico (PH)

90%

Centro Democrático (CD)

6%

$403k Vol.

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election card icon

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

<55%

5%

55-60%

71%

<55%

5%

55-60%

71%

$1m Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam card icon

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

Lê Minh Hưng

81%

Lương Tam Quang

4%

Lê Minh Hưng

81%

Lương Tam Quang

4%

$2m Vol.

Next President of Vietnam card icon

Next President of Vietnam

Tô Lâm

90%

Trần Thanh Mẫn

4%

Tô Lâm

90%

Trần Thanh Mẫn

4%

$5m Vol.

The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Popular Global Elections markets

Ukraine election called by...?Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)Colombia Presidential Election Which party will win the House in 2026?Turnout in 2026 Costa Rica Presidential Election First Round Thailand Legislative Election 3rd Place Peru Presidential Election Winner # of seats won by PPLE in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?Gorton and Denton by-election Winner Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?Which parties will lose seats in Japanese snap election?Next Prime Minister of Thailand Next Prime Minister of Kosovo Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?

New Global Elections markets

Governing Parties after Japanese snap election?Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Margin of Victory Gorton and Denton by-election Winner Turnout in 2026 Japanese Snap Election?Thailand Legislative Election 3rd Place Thailand Legislative Election 2nd Place # of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?# of seats won by BJT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?# of seats won by PPLE in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

Will CRA win 173+ seats in the Japanese snap election?Which parties will lose seats in Japanese snap election?# of JIP seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?# of DPFP seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?# of CRA seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?# of LDP seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?How many seats will Partido Popular win in the Aragon election?How many seats will Partido Popular win in the Castilla y Leon election?Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round Japan General Election 2nd Place?

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