Skip to main content

Votes predictions & odds

·
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

3%

$27.7K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

16%

115-120m

$7.0K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

80%

Scott Wiener

$353K Vol.

$50.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 25 days

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

29%

62%+

$558 Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$749K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

14

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

42%

82-84%

$72 Vol.

$955 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

72%

$39.2K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$105K Liq.

8

Ends in 4 months

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

41%

Labour 10-15%

$0 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

87%

Plaid Cymru

$266K Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

4

Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

57%

$2.0K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 days

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

32%

JV

$63.7K Vol.

$61.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 5 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

99%

300+

$17.0K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

19%

May 31

$134K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

10

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

99%

FP

$94.7K Vol.

$32.5K Liq.

6

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

7%

$26.6K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

85%

500+

$35.5K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

2

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

100%

400+

$81.0K Vol.

$46.3K Liq.

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

57%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$456 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

49%

Likud

$1.5K Vol.

$47.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Votes.

Polymarket currently hosts 164 active markets for Votes that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 91% chance to Swedish Social Democratic Party (S). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Votes predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.