High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages on the generic ballot, special-election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest. Primary turnout signals, youth registration trends, and expanded mail and early-voting infrastructure point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm totals of roughly 100-115 million votes anchor the market's clustering around the 115-125 million range, while competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist. Funding shortfalls among some voter-mobilization groups and uneven base motivation introduce downside risks that keep adjacent bins active.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated115-120m 27%
120-125m 17%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 16%
$30,649 Vol.
$30,649 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
3%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
5%
105-110m
11%
110-115m
16%
115-120m
27%
120-125m
17%
125-130m
17%
130m+
7%
115-120m 27%
120-125m 17%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 16%
$30,649 Vol.
$30,649 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
$617 Vol.
1%
85-90m
$619 Vol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,851 Vol.
3%
95-100m
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105m
$1,225 Vol.
5%
105-110m
$941 Vol.
11%
110-115m
$4,892 Vol.
16%
115-120m
$5,377 Vol.
27%
120-125m
$9,513 Vol.
17%
125-130m
$3,544 Vol.
17%
130m+
$1,691 Vol.
7%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages on the generic ballot, special-election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest. Primary turnout signals, youth registration trends, and expanded mail and early-voting infrastructure point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm totals of roughly 100-115 million votes anchor the market's clustering around the 115-125 million range, while competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist. Funding shortfalls among some voter-mobilization groups and uneven base motivation introduce downside risks that keep adjacent bins active.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$30,649End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages on the generic ballot, special-election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest. Primary turnout signals, youth registration trends, and expanded mail and early-voting infrastructure point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm totals of roughly 100-115 million votes anchor the market's clustering around the 115-125 million range, while competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist. Funding shortfalls among some voter-mobilization groups and uneven base motivation introduce downside risks that keep adjacent bins active.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$30,649End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages on the generic ballot, special-election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest. Primary turnout signals, youth registration trends, and expanded mail and early-voting infrastructure point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm totals of roughly 100-115 million votes anchor the market's clustering around the 115-125 million range, while competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist. Funding shortfalls among some voter-mobilization groups and uneven base motivation introduce downside risks that keep adjacent bins active.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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