Recent record-breaking primary turnouts, including Texas Democrats shattering records with over 2.3 million votes and elevated early voting surpassing prior midterm and presidential benchmarks, have propelled trader consensus toward higher House participation around 115-130 million votes, exceeding 2022's 108 million and rivaling 2018's 114 million peak. Democratic overperformance in recent special elections in Georgia, Wisconsin, and Mississippi—coupled with polls showing a Democratic enthusiasm edge (e.g., 67% vs. 50% motivation in some surveys)—fuels optimism for a turnout surge amid polarization under the Trump administration. Yet the race stays tight due to historical midterm dips from presidential years, uncertain GOP mobilization, and base rates hovering near 45-50% of voting-eligible population; sustained high primaries, generic ballot shifts, or economic catalysts could widen separation toward 125 million-plus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated125-130m 26%
110-115m 18%
115-120m 15%
105-110m 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
5%
85-90m
5%
90-95m
4%
95-100m
4%
100-105m
10%
105-110m
14%
110-115m
18%
115-120m
21%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
26%
130m+
6%
125-130m 26%
110-115m 18%
115-120m 15%
105-110m 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$309 Vol.
5%
85-90m
$409 Vol.
5%
90-95m
$791 Vol.
4%
95-100m
$259 Vol.
4%
100-105m
$603 Vol.
10%
105-110m
$416 Vol.
14%
110-115m
$329 Vol.
18%
115-120m
$710 Vol.
21%
120-125m
$322 Vol.
19%
125-130m
$894 Vol.
26%
130m+
$230 Vol.
6%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent record-breaking primary turnouts, including Texas Democrats shattering records with over 2.3 million votes and elevated early voting surpassing prior midterm and presidential benchmarks, have propelled trader consensus toward higher House participation around 115-130 million votes, exceeding 2022's 108 million and rivaling 2018's 114 million peak. Democratic overperformance in recent special elections in Georgia, Wisconsin, and Mississippi—coupled with polls showing a Democratic enthusiasm edge (e.g., 67% vs. 50% motivation in some surveys)—fuels optimism for a turnout surge amid polarization under the Trump administration. Yet the race stays tight due to historical midterm dips from presidential years, uncertain GOP mobilization, and base rates hovering near 45-50% of voting-eligible population; sustained high primaries, generic ballot shifts, or economic catalysts could widen separation toward 125 million-plus.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$5,271End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent record-breaking primary turnouts, including Texas Democrats shattering records with over 2.3 million votes and elevated early voting surpassing prior midterm and presidential benchmarks, have propelled trader consensus toward higher House participation around 115-130 million votes, exceeding 2022's 108 million and rivaling 2018's 114 million peak. Democratic overperformance in recent special elections in Georgia, Wisconsin, and Mississippi—coupled with polls showing a Democratic enthusiasm edge (e.g., 67% vs. 50% motivation in some surveys)—fuels optimism for a turnout surge amid polarization under the Trump administration. Yet the race stays tight due to historical midterm dips from presidential years, uncertain GOP mobilization, and base rates hovering near 45-50% of voting-eligible population; sustained high primaries, generic ballot shifts, or economic catalysts could widen separation toward 125 million-plus.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$5,271End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent record-breaking primary turnouts, including Texas Democrats shattering records with over 2.3 million votes and elevated early voting surpassing prior midterm and presidential benchmarks, have propelled trader consensus toward higher House participation around 115-130 million votes, exceeding 2022's 108 million and rivaling 2018's 114 million peak. Democratic overperformance in recent special elections in Georgia, Wisconsin, and Mississippi—coupled with polls showing a Democratic enthusiasm edge (e.g., 67% vs. 50% motivation in some surveys)—fuels optimism for a turnout surge amid polarization under the Trump administration. Yet the race stays tight due to historical midterm dips from presidential years, uncertain GOP mobilization, and base rates hovering near 45-50% of voting-eligible population; sustained high primaries, generic ballot shifts, or economic catalysts could widen separation toward 125 million-plus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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