Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's presidential election, driven by her consistent first-round polling edge of 21-25% in recent Alpha Research and Gallup International surveys, bolstered by BSP party support amid fragmented opposition. Nikolai Denkov follows at 18%, reflecting We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition backing and 14-18% poll shares, while Rosen Zhelyazkov (13%) and Atanas Atanasov (13.2%) gain from GERB and DB bases in a crowded 15+ candidate field likely forcing a runoff on November 3. Recent TV debates and no major scandals have stabilized odds, with first-round voting on October 27 poised to test voter turnout in Bulgaria's ongoing political deadlock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBulgaria Presidential Election
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova 40%
Nikolai Denkov 18%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%
Atanas Atanasov 11.8%

Iliana Iotova
40%

Nikolai Denkov
18%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
13%

Atanas Atanasov
12%

Blagomir Kotsev
7%

Vassil Terziev
7%

Yanaki Stoilov
6%

Boyko Borissov
6%

Natalia Kiselova
5%

Kostadin Kostadinov
3%

Delyan Peevski
2%

Rosen Plevneliev
7%

Krum Zarkov
1%
Iliana Iotova 40%
Nikolai Denkov 18%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%
Atanas Atanasov 11.8%

Iliana Iotova
40%

Nikolai Denkov
18%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
13%

Atanas Atanasov
12%

Blagomir Kotsev
7%

Vassil Terziev
7%

Yanaki Stoilov
6%

Boyko Borissov
6%

Natalia Kiselova
5%

Kostadin Kostadinov
3%

Delyan Peevski
2%

Rosen Plevneliev
7%

Krum Zarkov
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Market Opened: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's presidential election, driven by her consistent first-round polling edge of 21-25% in recent Alpha Research and Gallup International surveys, bolstered by BSP party support amid fragmented opposition. Nikolai Denkov follows at 18%, reflecting We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition backing and 14-18% poll shares, while Rosen Zhelyazkov (13%) and Atanas Atanasov (13.2%) gain from GERB and DB bases in a crowded 15+ candidate field likely forcing a runoff on November 3. Recent TV debates and no major scandals have stabilized odds, with first-round voting on October 27 poised to test voter turnout in Bulgaria's ongoing political deadlock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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