Colombia Presidential Election

Name: Colombia Presidential Election
Start: 2025-07-29T17:32:52.057619Z
End: 2026-06-21T14:00:00Z

$2,159,441 Vol.

Jun 21, 2026

Abelardo de la Espriella 43%

Iván Cepeda Castro 38%

Paloma Valencia 7.6%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) 5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Abelardo de la Espriella
$94,629 Vol.
43%

Iván Cepeda Castro
$63,856 Vol.
38%

Paloma Valencia
$28,085 Vol.
8%

Sergio Fajardo (DC)
$50,942 Vol.
5%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
$27,863 Vol.
3%

Roy Barreras
$35,831 Vol.
2%

Vicky Dávila (IND)
$47,037 Vol.
1%

Claudia López (IND)
$61,804 Vol.
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)
$71,795 Vol.
<1%

David Luna Sánchez (IND)
$65,306 Vol.
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)
$53,843 Vol.
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)
$53,981 Vol.
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)
$45,358 Vol.
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
$1,298,901 Vol.
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)
$73,672 Vol.
<1%

Daniel Quintero
$21,767 Vol.
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
$40,156 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Created At: Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Volume

$2,159,441

End Date

Jun 21, 2026

Created At

Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$2,159,441 Vol.

Jun 21, 2026

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo de la Espriella 43%

Iván Cepeda Castro 38%

Paloma Valencia 7.6%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) 5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Abelardo de la Espriella

$94,629 Vol.

43%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$63,856 Vol.

38%

Paloma Valencia

$28,085 Vol.

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

$50,942 Vol.

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$27,863 Vol.

Roy Barreras

$35,831 Vol.

Vicky Dávila (IND)

$47,037 Vol.

Claudia López (IND)

$61,804 Vol.

<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

$71,795 Vol.

<1%

David Luna Sánchez (IND)

$65,306 Vol.

<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

$53,843 Vol.

<1%

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

$53,981 Vol.

<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

$45,358 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas

$1,298,901 Vol.

<1%

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

$73,672 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Quintero

$21,767 Vol.

<1%

Enrique Peñalosa

$40,156 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$2,159,441

End Date

Jun 21, 2026

Created At

Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

47%

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

14%

Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

53%

Beware of external links.

Colombia Presidential Election